BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Alta-Aurelia

Class: 2A Class Rank: 23 Conference: (13-3-0) Overall: (23-11-0) Overall Strength =   23.33

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Home    L    25.82   0   1   3A  16 (27-13) Sergeant Bluff-Luton    2.62     -3.62                      
  2 05/24/2012 Home    L    18.66   0   3   2A  38 (17-10) Ridge View             -4.53      1.53                      
  3 05/26/2012 Unknown W    23.59  11   3   1A  87 ( 7-16) West Harrison           0.39      7.61                      
  4 05/26/2012 Away    L    17.60   7   9   1A  40 (12-10) Woodbury Central       -5.59      3.59                      
  5 05/28/2012 Away    L    20.38   3  11   1A   2 (31- 4) Lawton-Bronson         -2.81     -5.19                      
  6 05/31/2012 Home    L    11.02   2  15   1A  11 (25- 9) Remsen St Mary        -12.17     -0.83  7 innings           
  7 06/01/2012 Home    W *  24.93  16   2   1A 125 ( 2-20) Laurens-Marathon        1.74     12.26                      
  8 06/02/2012 Unknown W *  27.61  13   6   2A  48 (20- 6) Lake View East Sac      4.42      2.58                      
  9 06/02/2012 Away    W    28.58   8   2   3A  45 (16-14) Storm Lake              5.39      0.61                      
 10 06/04/2012 Away    W *  22.59  10   3   1A  82 (10-18) Newell-Fonda           -0.60      7.60                      
 11 06/06/2012 Home    W *  29.30  10   1   1A  35 (19- 9) Storm Lake St Mary      6.11      2.89                      
 12 06/07/2012 Home    W    21.41  14   4   1A 118 ( 2-26) Clay Central-Everly    -1.78     11.78                      
 13 06/08/2012 Home    W *  29.58  17   0   1A 110 ( 5-21) Pocahontas PA-P-P       6.39     10.61                      
 14 06/09/2012 Away    W    29.80  11   2   2A  43 (12-14) Emmetsburg              6.61      2.39                      
 15 06/09/2012 Unknown W    23.96  14   8   2A  72 (12-14) Milford Okoboji         0.77      5.23                      
 16 06/11/2012 Away    W *  23.36  18   5   2A  94 ( 3-22) Prairie Valley          0.17 *   12.83  5 innings           
 17 06/12/2012 Home    W    21.03   8   0   2A  92 ( 9-16) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG    -2.17     10.17                      
 18 06/13/2012 Home    W *  24.80  19   7   1A 105 (12-19) Southeast Webster       1.61     10.39                      
 19 06/16/2012 Unknown W    23.51   6   1   2A  68 ( 5-20) Cherokee Washington     0.32      4.68                      
 20 06/16/2012 Away    L    18.42   1   4   2A  38 (17-10) Ridge View             -4.77      1.77                      
 21 06/18/2012 Home    L *  18.73   5   7   2A  48 (20- 6) Lake View East Sac     -4.46      2.46                      
 22 06/25/2012 Unknown W *  22.96   6   4   2A  45 (20- 9) Sioux Central          -0.23      2.23                      
 23 06/25/2012 Unknown L *  19.96   3   4   2A  45 (20- 9) Sioux Central          -3.23      2.23                      
 24 06/26/2012 Away    W *  25.42  14   1   1A 103 ( 7-21) Northwest Webster       2.23     10.77  5 innings           
 25 06/27/2012 Away    W *  18.70  10   2   1A 125 ( 2-20) Laurens-Marathon       -4.49 *   12.49                      
 26 06/28/2012 Away    W *  30.45  22   5   2A  91 (10-17) South Central           7.26      9.74                      
 27 06/29/2012 Home    W *  21.82   9   3   1A  82 (10-18) Newell-Fonda           -1.37      7.37                      
 28 07/02/2012 Away    L *  15.06   1   6   1A  35 (19- 9) Storm Lake St Mary     -8.13      3.13                      
 29 07/05/2012 Away    L    15.68   4  10   3A  49 (16-14) Spencer                -7.51      1.51                      
 30 07/07/2012 Unknown W    22.96   8   3   2A  72 (12-14) Milford Okoboji        -0.23      5.23                      
 31 07/10/2012 Unknown W *  25.96   5   0   2A  45 (20- 9) Sioux Central           2.77      2.23                      
 32 07/14/2012 Away    W    26.01   5   1   2A  29 (26- 7) North Union NSK-AR      2.81      1.19                      
 33 07/17/2012 Unknown W    30.56  10   0   2A  50 (15-15) Western Christian       7.37      2.63                      
 34 07/21/2012 Unknown L    28.28   0   1   2A   2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis        5.09     -6.09                      
      Averages              23.19   8.5  3.9

Best game:   30.56 = 10 point win over Hull Western Christian
Worst game:  11.02 = 13 point loss to Remsen St Mary
Team stdev:   4.77