BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Alta-Aurelia
Class: 2A Class Rank: 23 Conference: (13-3-0) Overall: (23-11-0) Overall Strength = 23.33
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 05/21/2012 Home L 25.82 0 1 3A 16 (27-13) Sergeant Bluff-Luton 2.62 -3.62
2 05/24/2012 Home L 18.66 0 3 2A 38 (17-10) Ridge View -4.53 1.53
3 05/26/2012 Unknown W 23.59 11 3 1A 87 ( 7-16) West Harrison 0.39 7.61
4 05/26/2012 Away L 17.60 7 9 1A 40 (12-10) Woodbury Central -5.59 3.59
5 05/28/2012 Away L 20.38 3 11 1A 2 (31- 4) Lawton-Bronson -2.81 -5.19
6 05/31/2012 Home L 11.02 2 15 1A 11 (25- 9) Remsen St Mary -12.17 -0.83 7 innings
7 06/01/2012 Home W * 24.93 16 2 1A 125 ( 2-20) Laurens-Marathon 1.74 12.26
8 06/02/2012 Unknown W * 27.61 13 6 2A 48 (20- 6) Lake View East Sac 4.42 2.58
9 06/02/2012 Away W 28.58 8 2 3A 45 (16-14) Storm Lake 5.39 0.61
10 06/04/2012 Away W * 22.59 10 3 1A 82 (10-18) Newell-Fonda -0.60 7.60
11 06/06/2012 Home W * 29.30 10 1 1A 35 (19- 9) Storm Lake St Mary 6.11 2.89
12 06/07/2012 Home W 21.41 14 4 1A 118 ( 2-26) Clay Central-Everly -1.78 11.78
13 06/08/2012 Home W * 29.58 17 0 1A 110 ( 5-21) Pocahontas PA-P-P 6.39 10.61
14 06/09/2012 Away W 29.80 11 2 2A 43 (12-14) Emmetsburg 6.61 2.39
15 06/09/2012 Unknown W 23.96 14 8 2A 72 (12-14) Milford Okoboji 0.77 5.23
16 06/11/2012 Away W * 23.36 18 5 2A 94 ( 3-22) Prairie Valley 0.17 * 12.83 5 innings
17 06/12/2012 Home W 21.03 8 0 2A 92 ( 9-16) Ida Grove O-A-BC-IG -2.17 10.17
18 06/13/2012 Home W * 24.80 19 7 1A 105 (12-19) Southeast Webster 1.61 10.39
19 06/16/2012 Unknown W 23.51 6 1 2A 68 ( 5-20) Cherokee Washington 0.32 4.68
20 06/16/2012 Away L 18.42 1 4 2A 38 (17-10) Ridge View -4.77 1.77
21 06/18/2012 Home L * 18.73 5 7 2A 48 (20- 6) Lake View East Sac -4.46 2.46
22 06/25/2012 Unknown W * 22.96 6 4 2A 45 (20- 9) Sioux Central -0.23 2.23
23 06/25/2012 Unknown L * 19.96 3 4 2A 45 (20- 9) Sioux Central -3.23 2.23
24 06/26/2012 Away W * 25.42 14 1 1A 103 ( 7-21) Northwest Webster 2.23 10.77 5 innings
25 06/27/2012 Away W * 18.70 10 2 1A 125 ( 2-20) Laurens-Marathon -4.49 * 12.49
26 06/28/2012 Away W * 30.45 22 5 2A 91 (10-17) South Central 7.26 9.74
27 06/29/2012 Home W * 21.82 9 3 1A 82 (10-18) Newell-Fonda -1.37 7.37
28 07/02/2012 Away L * 15.06 1 6 1A 35 (19- 9) Storm Lake St Mary -8.13 3.13
29 07/05/2012 Away L 15.68 4 10 3A 49 (16-14) Spencer -7.51 1.51
30 07/07/2012 Unknown W 22.96 8 3 2A 72 (12-14) Milford Okoboji -0.23 5.23
31 07/10/2012 Unknown W * 25.96 5 0 2A 45 (20- 9) Sioux Central 2.77 2.23
32 07/14/2012 Away W 26.01 5 1 2A 29 (26- 7) North Union NSK-AR 2.81 1.19
33 07/17/2012 Unknown W 30.56 10 0 2A 50 (15-15) Western Christian 7.37 2.63
34 07/21/2012 Unknown L 28.28 0 1 2A 2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis 5.09 -6.09
Averages 23.19 8.5 3.9
Best game: 30.56 = 10 point win over Hull Western Christian
Worst game: 11.02 = 13 point loss to Remsen St Mary
Team stdev: 4.77