BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ames

Class: 4A Class Rank: 38 Conference: (5-28-0) Overall: (7-30-0) Overall Strength =   25.91

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Home    L    20.73   0  11   3A   1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes   -5.18     -5.82                      
  2 05/22/2012 Away    L *  25.15   1   8   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston               -0.75     -6.25                      
  3 05/29/2012 Away    L *  25.92  11  12   4A  31 (19-19) Ottumwa                 0.01     -1.01                      
  4 05/29/2012 Away    L *  25.92  12  13   4A  31 (19-19) Ottumwa                 0.01     -1.01                      
  5 06/01/2012 Home    W    30.38   9   0   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville               4.48      4.52                      
  6 06/04/2012 Home    W *  30.60   9   7   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            4.69     -2.69                      
  7 06/04/2012 Home    L *  26.60   3   5   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            0.69     -2.69                      
  8 06/05/2012 Away    W    30.46   8   4   4A  35 (19-16) Boone                   4.55     -0.55                      
  9 06/07/2012 Home    L *  20.96   4  15   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                 -4.94     -6.06                      
 10 06/07/2012 Home    L *  30.96   6   7   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                  5.06     -6.06                      
 11 06/08/2012 Home    L *  25.59  10  14   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola              -0.32     -3.68                      
 12 06/08/2012 Home    L *  22.59   8  15   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola              -3.32     -3.68                      
 13 06/11/2012 Away    L *  23.03   1  11   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -2.88     -7.12                      
 14 06/11/2012 Away    L *  27.03   2   8   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley              1.12     -7.12                      
 15 06/12/2012 Home    L *  23.40   1  11   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling            -2.51     -7.49                      
 16 06/12/2012 Home    L *  28.40   2   7   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling             2.49     -7.49                      
 17 06/14/2012 Home    L *  14.91   1  13   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City            -11.00     -1.00                      
 18 06/14/2012 Home    L *  24.91   2   4   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City             -1.00     -1.00                      
 19 06/18/2012 Away    L *  24.00   4  12   4A   7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge             -1.91     -6.09                      
 20 06/18/2012 Away    L *  22.00   4  14   4A   7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge             -3.91     -6.09                      
 21 06/19/2012 Home    L *  23.52   5  12   4A  14 (17-24) Urbandale              -2.38     -4.62                      
 22 06/19/2012 Home    L *  20.52   5  15   4A  14 (17-24) Urbandale              -5.38     -4.62                      
 23 06/21/2012 Away    L *  26.37  14  16   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            0.46     -2.46                      
 24 06/21/2012 Away    L *  24.37   3   7   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown           -1.54     -2.46                      
 25 06/25/2012 Away    L *  27.73   3   7   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                  1.82     -5.82                      
 26 06/25/2012 Away    L *  23.73   1   9   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                 -2.18     -5.82                      
 27 06/28/2012 Home    L *  19.26   1  15   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -6.64     -7.36                      
 28 06/28/2012 Home    L *  25.26   1   9   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -0.64     -7.36                      
 29 07/02/2012 Away    W *  32.67   8   2   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City              6.77     -0.77                      
 30 07/02/2012 Away    L *  17.67   1  10   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City             -8.23     -0.77                      
 31 07/06/2012 Home    W *  33.24   8   7   4A   7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge              7.33     -6.33                      
 32 07/06/2012 Home    L *  31.24   3   4   4A   7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge              5.33     -6.33                      
 33 07/09/2012 Home    L *  24.41   4  13   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk         -1.50     -7.50                      
 34 07/09/2012 Home    L *  28.41   2   7   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk          2.50     -7.50                      
 35 07/10/2012 Away    W *  37.08  17   6   4A  36 (14-25) Des Moines Lincoln     11.17     -0.17  5 innings           
 36 07/10/2012 Away    W *  31.08   7   2   4A  36 (14-25) Des Moines Lincoln      5.17     -0.17                      
 37 07/13/2012 Neutral L    28.47   7   9   4A  12 (34- 9) Sioux City East         2.56     -4.56                      
      Averages              25.91   5.1  9.2

Best game:   37.08 = 11 point win over Des Moines Lincoln
Worst game:  14.91 = 12 point loss to Mason City
Team stdev:   4.62