BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Carlisle

Class: 3A Class Rank: 32 Conference: (6-11-0) Overall: (11-23-0) Overall Strength =   25.05

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Away    L    23.17   0  10   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk         -1.88     -8.12                      
  2 05/21/2012 Away    L    23.17   2  12   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk         -1.88     -8.12                      
  3 05/22/2012 Home    L    23.60   6  10   3A  11 (25-11) Chariton               -1.45     -2.55                      
  4 05/25/2012 Away    L    23.52   0   6   4A  16 (25-15) Des Moines East        -1.53     -4.47                      
  5 05/29/2012 Home    W *  33.69  12   5   4A  35 (19-16) Boone                   8.64     -1.64                      
  6 05/30/2012 Away    L    27.35   4   6   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola               2.30     -4.30                      
  7 06/01/2012 Away    W *  24.52   3   2   3A  40 (15-19) Huxley Ballard         -0.53      1.53                      
  8 06/04/2012 Home    L *  24.36   2   3   3A  29 (19-15) Perry                  -0.69     -0.31                      
  9 06/06/2012 Home    W *  34.51  10   2   3A  21 (23-14) Saydel                  9.45     -1.45                      
 10 06/07/2012 Away    L *  12.75   1  12   3A  37 (15-19) Bondurant-Farrar      -12.30      1.30                      
 11 06/08/2012 Away    W *  25.65   6   1   3A  56 ( 8-23) Winterset               0.60      4.40                      
 12 06/09/2012 Home    W    30.60   4   1   3A  11 (25-11) Chariton                5.55     -2.55                      
 13 06/09/2012 Home    L    23.72   2   3   1A  10 (25- 7) Southeast Warren       -1.33      0.33                      
 14 06/11/2012 Away    L *  25.53   5   6   3A  17 (19-14) Carroll                 0.48     -1.48                      
 15 06/12/2012 Home    W    23.31   8   7   2A  31 (12-23) Pella Christian        -1.74      2.74                      
 16 06/13/2012 Home    W *  24.99   2   1   3A  37 (15-19) Bondurant-Farrar       -0.07      1.07                      
 17 06/16/2012 Unknown W    25.32   3   2   2A  18 (18-11) Gilbert                 0.27      0.73                      
 18 06/18/2012 Away    L *  25.46   2   3   4A  35 (19-16) Boone                   0.40     -1.40                      
 19 06/19/2012 Away    L    18.95   5  15   2A   3 (31- 5) Alleman North Polk     -6.11     -3.89                      
 20 06/20/2012 Away    L *  21.50   0  10   3A   1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes   -3.56     -6.44                      
 21 06/22/2012 Home    L *  22.76   4   5   3A  40 (15-19) Huxley Ballard         -2.30      1.30                      
 22 06/25/2012 Away    L *  24.13   4   5   3A  29 (19-15) Perry                  -0.92     -0.08                      
 23 06/26/2012 Home    W    29.74  11   6   2A  16 (21-11) Prairie City-Monroe     4.69      0.31                      
 24 06/27/2012 Away    L *  24.27   1   3   3A  21 (23-14) Saydel                 -0.78     -1.22                      
 25 06/30/2012 Away    L    24.15   0   8   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston               -0.90     -7.10                      
 26 06/30/2012 Away    L    27.13   6   7   1A   1 (40- 5) Martensdale M-SM        2.08     -3.08                      
 27 07/02/2012 Home    L *  29.73   7   9   3A   1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes    4.68     -6.68                      
 28 07/03/2012 Away    L    23.13   8  13   1A   1 (40- 5) Martensdale M-SM       -1.92     -3.08                      
 29 07/06/2012 Unknown L *  24.20   4   8   3A   8 (26-15) Adel ADM               -0.85     -3.15                      
 30 07/06/2012 Unknown W *  35.20  10   3   3A   8 (26-15) Adel ADM               10.15     -3.15                      
 31 07/09/2012 Home    L *  17.77   1  10   3A  17 (19-14) Carroll                -7.29     -1.71                      
 32 07/11/2012 Home    W    27.37   3   1   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                 2.32     -0.32                      
 33 07/13/2012 Unknown L    23.26   0   2   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                -1.80     -0.20                      
 34 07/13/2012 Unknown L    23.26   0   2   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                -1.80     -0.20                      
      Averages              25.05   4.0  5.9

Best game:   35.20 = 7 point win over Adel ADM
Worst game:  12.75 = 11 point loss to Bondurant-Farrar
Team stdev:   4.43