BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Chariton

Class: 3A Class Rank: 11 Conference: (13-8-0) Overall: (25-11-0) Overall Strength =   27.49

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/22/2012 Away    W    28.94  10   6   3A  32 (11-23) Carlisle                1.45      2.55                      
  2 05/23/2012 Away    W    33.65  14   1   3A  56 ( 8-23) Winterset               6.17      6.83                      
  3 05/24/2012 Home    W    25.92   4   2   4A  43 (15-20) Newton                 -1.57      3.57                      
  4 05/29/2012 Away    W *  27.62  11   1   2A  75 ( 5-30) Osceola Clarke          0.14      9.86                      
  5 05/29/2012 Away    W *  28.62  12   1   2A  75 ( 5-30) Osceola Clarke          1.14      9.86                      
  6 05/30/2012 Home    W    23.96   1   0   3A  44 (16-20) Fairfield              -3.52      4.52                      
  7 06/01/2012 Unknown W *  25.91   7   4   2A  27 (10-26) Albia                  -1.58      4.58                      
  8 06/01/2012 Unknown W *  24.91   7   5   2A  27 (10-26) Albia                  -2.58      4.58                      
  9 06/04/2012 Away    L *  28.17   2   3   2A   2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis        0.68     -1.68                      
 10 06/04/2012 Away    L *  25.17   1   5   2A   2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis       -2.32     -1.68                      
 11 06/05/2012 Home    W    34.38  14   1   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville               6.90      6.10                      
 12 06/09/2012 Away    L    21.94   1   4   3A  32 (11-23) Carlisle               -5.55      2.55                      
 13 06/09/2012 Unknown L    17.68   3  10   2A  13 (24-11) Des Moines Christian   -9.81      2.81                      
 14 06/11/2012 Away    L *  22.99   0   2   3A  30 (21-17) Centerville            -4.50      2.50                      
 15 06/11/2012 Away    W *  34.99  15   5   3A  30 (21-17) Centerville             7.50      2.50                      
 16 06/13/2012 Home    W *  30.86  13   0   2A  75 ( 5-30) Osceola Clarke          3.37      9.63                      
 17 06/13/2012 Home    W *  28.86  15   4   2A  75 ( 5-30) Osceola Clarke          1.37      9.63                      
 18 06/14/2012 Away    W    31.63  12   1   3A  57 ( 9-27) Oskaloosa               4.14      6.86                      
 19 06/18/2012 Away    W    23.15  11   9   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville              -4.34      6.34                      
 20 06/21/2012 Home    L *  28.40   0   1   2A   2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis        0.91     -1.91                      
 21 06/21/2012 Home    L *  28.40   3   4   2A   2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis        0.91     -1.91                      
 22 06/22/2012 Unknown W    28.79  10   1   1A  38 (13-10) Moulton-Udell           1.30      7.70                      
 23 06/23/2012 Away    W *  25.99   4   3   3A  30 (21-17) Centerville            -1.50      2.50                      
 24 06/25/2012 Away    W *  27.46   9   8   2A   7 (25-11) Eddyville-Blakesburg   -0.02      1.02                      
 25 06/25/2012 Away    L *  25.46   2   3   2A   7 (25-11) Eddyville-Blakesburg   -2.02      1.02                      
 26 06/26/2012 Away    W *  29.79  15   8   2A  27 (10-26) Albia                   2.30      4.70                      
 27 06/26/2012 Away    W *  28.79  16  10   2A  27 (10-26) Albia                   1.30      4.70                      
 28 06/27/2012 Home    W    28.03  12   7   1A  14 (23-10) Pleasantville           0.55      4.45                      
 29 06/28/2012 Home    W *  31.22   6   0   3A  30 (21-17) Centerville             3.74      2.26                      
 30 06/28/2012 Home    W *  29.22   7   3   3A  30 (21-17) Centerville             1.74      2.26                      
 31 07/03/2012 Home    L *  24.70   1   3   2A   7 (25-11) Eddyville-Blakesburg   -2.79      0.79                      
 32 07/03/2012 Home    L *  25.70   6   7   2A   7 (25-11) Eddyville-Blakesburg   -1.79      0.79                      
 33 07/05/2012 Home    W    26.63   7   6   3A  27 (19-17) Pella                  -0.86      1.86                      
 34 07/10/2012 Away    W    29.94  11   3   3A  48 (14-15) Creston                 2.46      5.54                      
 35 07/13/2012 Away    W    27.15  12   6   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville              -0.34      6.34                      
 36 07/16/2012 Unknown L    24.51   7   8   3A  27 (19-17) Pella                  -2.97      1.97                      
      Averages              27.49   7.8  4.0

Best game:   34.99 = 10 point win over Centerville
Worst game:  17.68 = 7 point loss to Des Moines Christian
Team stdev:   3.51