BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Decorah

Class: 3A Class Rank: 10 Conference: (14-6-0) Overall: (28-11-0) Overall Strength =   27.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/22/2012 Away    W    48.14  25   0   1A  17 (24-17) Lansing Kee            20.40      4.60  4 innings           
  2 05/22/2012 Away    L    22.14   1   2   1A  17 (24-17) Lansing Kee            -5.60      4.60                      
  3 05/25/2012 Home    W    28.95   3   2   3A   9 (27-14) Maquoketa               1.20     -0.20                      
  4 05/25/2012 Home    L    22.95   0   5   3A   9 (27-14) Maquoketa              -4.80     -0.20                      
  5 05/29/2012 Away    W *  32.42   8   2   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton             4.68      1.32                      
  6 05/29/2012 Away    L *  25.42   2   3   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton            -2.32      1.32                      
  7 05/30/2012 Home    W    33.11  12   2   2A  26 (25-12) South Winneshiek        5.37      4.63                      
  8 06/01/2012 Away    W *  27.26   7   1   3A  53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood       -0.48      6.48                      
  9 06/01/2012 Away    W *  28.26   8   1   3A  53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood        0.52      6.48                      
 10 06/02/2012 Home    W    26.73  10   0   1A  73 (11-22) Elgin Valley           -1.02     11.02                      
 11 06/02/2012 Home    W    18.07   5   3   1A  80 ( 8-18) Tripoli                -9.68     11.68                      
 12 06/05/2012 Home    L *  24.90   4   5   3A  23 (25-11) Oelwein                -2.85      1.85  10 innings          
 13 06/05/2012 Home    L *  23.90   7   9   3A  23 (25-11) Oelwein                -3.85      1.85                      
 14 06/06/2012 Away    W    25.41  10   7   4A  45 ( 7-32) Waterloo East          -2.34      5.34                      
 15 06/06/2012 Away    W    29.41  12   5   4A  45 ( 7-32) Waterloo East           1.66      5.34                      
 16 06/08/2012 Away    W *  32.39  12   1   3A  52 ( 9-25) Waukon                  4.65      6.35  5 innings           
 17 06/11/2012 Away    L *  19.87   4   8   3A  39 (19-16) Waverly-Shell Rock     -7.88      3.88                      
 18 06/13/2012 Home    W    27.04   6   1   2A  32 (23-20) North Fayette          -0.70      5.70                      
 19 06/15/2012 Away    L *  23.03   7   8   3A  36 (18-19) Charles City           -4.71      3.71                      
 20 06/18/2012 Home    L *  22.65   6  10   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton            -5.09      1.09                      
 21 06/19/2012 Away    L    27.45   7   8   2A   4 (28-10) Waterloo Columbus      -0.29     -0.71                      
 22 06/20/2012 Home    W *  28.50   8   1   3A  53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood        0.76      6.24                      
 23 06/22/2012 Away    W *  28.66   4   1   3A  23 (25-11) Oelwein                 0.92      2.08                      
 24 06/26/2012 Home    W *  23.62   7   5   3A  52 ( 9-25) Waukon                 -4.12      6.12                      
 25 06/26/2012 Home    W *  23.62   9   7   3A  52 ( 9-25) Waukon                 -4.12      6.12                      
 26 06/28/2012 Away    W    27.99   1   0   3A  14 (22-16) West Delaware           0.25      0.75                      
 27 06/29/2012 Home    W *  26.10   5   3   3A  39 (19-16) Waverly-Shell Rock     -1.64      3.64                      
 28 06/29/2012 Home    W *  31.10   7   0   3A  39 (19-16) Waverly-Shell Rock      3.36      3.64                      
 29 07/03/2012 Away    W    27.36   9   0   2A  69 (13-22) Clayton Ridge          -0.39      9.39                      
 30 07/05/2012 Home    W *  30.27  10   4   3A  36 (18-19) Charles City            2.52      3.48                      
 31 07/05/2012 Home    W *  37.27  15   2   3A  36 (18-19) Charles City            9.52      3.48                      
 32 07/09/2012 Away    W    33.23   8   2   4A  30 (22-19) Cedar Falls             5.49      0.51                      
 33 07/10/2012 Home    L    23.54   1   2   4A  41 ( 6-33) Waterloo West          -4.20      3.20                      
 34 07/13/2012 Unknown W *  23.38   7   5   3A  53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood       -4.36      6.36                      
 35 07/16/2012 Unknown W *  32.54  12   6   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton             4.80      1.20                      
 36 07/18/2012 Unknown W    29.51   5   4   3A   6 (33- 7) Clear Lake              1.77     -0.77                      
 37 07/24/2012 Unknown W    31.76   5   3   3A   4 (35- 8) Van Horne Benton        4.02     -2.02                      
 38 07/27/2012 Unknown W    35.39   7   2   3A   2 (35-11) Sioux City Heelan       7.65     -2.65                      
 39 07/28/2012 Neutral L    18.61   0  13   3A   1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes   -9.13     -3.87                      
      Averages              27.74   7.1  3.7

Best game:   48.14 = 25 point win over Lansing Kee
Worst game:  18.07 = 2 point win over Tripoli
Team stdev:   5.58