BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Earlham

Class: 1A Class Rank: 20 Conference: (15-8-0) Overall: (21-11-0) Overall Strength =   22.87

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Away    W    24.13  11   1   1A  93 (10-16) Nodaway Valley          1.26      8.74  5 Innings           
  2 05/22/2012 Away    W *  18.28   6   1   1A  99 ( 2-28) Guthrie Center         -4.59      9.59                      
  3 05/24/2012 Away    L *  18.56   0   6   2A  13 (24-11) Des Moines Christian   -4.31     -1.69                      
  4 05/29/2012 Home    W    22.34   5   4   1A  27 (21- 4) Elk Horn-Kimb-Exira    -0.54      1.54                      
  5 05/30/2012 Home    W *  22.69  11   8   1A  43 (13-16) Woodward-Granger       -0.18      3.18                      
  6 06/01/2012 Away    L *  14.05   0  10   2A  19 (24-11) Ogden                  -8.82     -1.18                      
  7 06/04/2012 Home    L *  20.54   4   6   1A  22 (26- 9) Coon Rapids-Bayard     -2.33      0.33                      
  8 06/05/2012 Away    W *  29.86  17   6   1A  48 (14-18) Madrid                  6.99      4.01                      
  9 06/07/2012 Home    W *  26.15  11   4   2A  65 (16-15) Stuart West Central     3.28      3.72                      
 10 06/08/2012 Away    W    33.53  22   2   1A  96 ( 8-15) WDM Iowa Christian     10.66      9.34  4 Innings           
 11 06/11/2012 Away    W *  19.53   8   5   2A  81 ( 9-21) Woodward Academy       -3.34      6.34                      
 12 06/12/2012 Home    W *  31.49  10   0   2A  39 (12-13) Panora Panorama         8.62      1.38                      
 13 06/13/2012 Away    L    19.65  12  13   3A  56 ( 8-23) Winterset              -3.22      2.22                      
 14 06/14/2012 Home    W *  28.52  18   3   1A  99 ( 2-28) Guthrie Center          5.65      9.35                      
 15 06/16/2012 Unknown L    18.20   4  14   3A   8 (26-15) Adel ADM               -4.67     -5.33                      
 16 06/16/2012 Away    W    26.13   1   0   3A  29 (19-15) Perry                   3.26     -2.26  5 Innings           
 17 06/18/2012 Home    W *  25.79   9   8   2A  13 (24-11) Des Moines Christian    2.92     -1.92                      
 18 06/20/2012 Away    W *  27.46  12   4   1A  43 (13-16) Woodward-Granger        4.58      3.42                      
 19 06/21/2012 Unknown L *  14.45   0  11   1A   8 (34- 9) Van Meter              -8.42     -2.58                      
 20 06/21/2012 Unknown L *  21.45   3   7   1A   8 (34- 9) Van Meter              -1.42     -2.58                      
 21 06/23/2012 Unknown W *  20.40  11   4   1A  99 ( 2-28) Guthrie Center         -2.47      9.47                      
 22 06/23/2012 Away    W *  28.05  12   8   2A  19 (24-11) Ogden                   5.18     -1.18                      
 23 06/25/2012 Home    L *  19.28   3   8   2A  19 (24-11) Ogden                  -3.59     -1.41                      
 24 06/26/2012 Away    L *  20.31   3   5   1A  22 (26- 9) Coon Rapids-Bayard     -2.56      0.56                      
 25 06/28/2012 Home    W *  25.09   6   0   1A  48 (14-18) Madrid                  2.22      3.78                      
 26 07/02/2012 Home    W *  26.76  11   1   2A  81 ( 9-21) Woodward Academy        3.89      6.11                      
 27 07/03/2012 Away    L *  11.26   1  11   2A  39 (12-13) Panora Panorama       -11.62      1.62                      
 28 07/10/2012 Unknown W    19.48  10   4   1A  97 ( 9-18) Orient-Macksburg       -3.39      9.39                      
 29 07/12/2012 Unknown W    29.42  11   0   1A  54 (18-11) Corning                 6.55      4.45                      
 30 07/14/2012 Unknown W *  26.45   3   2   1A   8 (34- 9) Van Meter               3.58     -2.58                      
 31 07/17/2012 Unknown W *  24.43   2   0   1A  22 (26- 9) Coon Rapids-Bayard      1.55      0.45                      
 32 07/23/2012 Neutral L    18.17   2  11   1A   3 (35- 5) Mason City Newman      -4.71     -4.29                      
      Averages              22.87   7.5  5.2

Best game:   33.53 = 20 point win over West Des Moines Iowa Christian
Worst game:  11.26 = 10 point loss to Panora Panorama
Team stdev:   5.27