BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Fairfield
Class: 3A Class Rank: 44 Conference: (9-9-0) Overall: (16-20-0) Overall Strength = 22.85
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 05/21/2012 Home L 16.66 2 12 3A 19 (25-15) Williamsburg -6.18 -3.82
2 05/21/2012 Home L 17.66 3 12 3A 19 (25-15) Williamsburg -5.18 -3.82
3 05/24/2012 Away L 21.47 6 8 2A 21 (26- 2) Keosauqua Van Buren -1.38 -0.62
4 05/26/2012 Away L 17.17 0 12 2A 2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis -5.68 -6.32
5 05/26/2012 Unknown W * 27.56 9 1 3A 60 (13-26) Keokuk 4.72 3.28
6 05/30/2012 Away L 26.37 0 1 3A 11 (25-11) Chariton 3.52 -4.52
7 06/04/2012 Home W * 24.20 3 2 3A 43 (14-24) Fort Madison 1.36 -0.36
8 06/04/2012 Home W * 25.20 8 6 3A 43 (14-24) Fort Madison 2.36 -0.36
9 06/06/2012 Home L 24.22 0 1 3A 30 (21-17) Centerville 1.38 -2.38
10 06/06/2012 Home W 26.22 9 8 3A 30 (21-17) Centerville 3.38 -2.38
11 06/07/2012 Away L * 18.45 4 5 3A 60 (13-26) Keokuk -4.40 3.40
12 06/07/2012 Away L * 14.45 2 7 3A 60 (13-26) Keokuk -8.40 3.40
13 06/11/2012 Home L * 9.92 2 19 3A 15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant -12.92 -4.08
14 06/11/2012 Home L * 23.92 0 3 3A 15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant 1.08 -4.08
15 06/13/2012 Away L 21.92 0 5 4A 31 (19-19) Ottumwa -0.93 -4.07
16 06/18/2012 Away W * 36.09 11 0 3A 31 (22-15) Washington 13.25 -2.25 5 Innings
17 06/18/2012 Away W * 31.09 13 7 3A 31 (22-15) Washington 8.25 -2.25
18 06/20/2012 Away W 23.75 12 3 1A 88 (13-14) Notre Dame 0.90 8.10
19 06/22/2012 Home W 29.31 9 2 2A 31 (12-23) Pella Christian 6.47 0.53
20 06/25/2012 Away W * 23.97 4 3 3A 43 (14-24) Fort Madison 1.12 -0.12
21 06/25/2012 Away L * 21.97 7 8 3A 43 (14-24) Fort Madison -0.88 -0.12
22 06/27/2012 Away L 17.53 8 17 3A 18 (27- 6) Grinnell -5.32 -3.68
23 06/28/2012 Home W * 23.68 6 2 3A 60 (13-26) Keokuk 0.84 3.16
24 06/28/2012 Home L * 18.68 4 5 3A 60 (13-26) Keokuk -4.16 3.16
25 06/29/2012 Home L 21.03 6 8 2A 27 (10-26) Albia -1.82 -0.18
26 06/29/2012 Home W 25.03 3 1 2A 27 (10-26) Albia 2.18 -0.18
27 07/02/2012 Away W * 27.69 4 3 3A 15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant 4.84 -3.84
28 07/02/2012 Away L * 23.69 3 6 3A 15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant 0.84 -3.84
29 07/03/2012 Home W 24.43 5 4 2A 24 (21-17) Wellman Mid-Prairie 1.58 -0.58
30 07/05/2012 Home W * 26.33 4 3 3A 31 (22-15) Washington 3.48 -2.48
31 07/05/2012 Home L * 22.33 4 7 3A 31 (22-15) Washington -0.52 -2.48
32 07/06/2012 Away L 24.40 1 2 3A 27 (19-17) Pella 1.55 -2.55
33 07/09/2012 Away L 17.15 10 14 3A 54 ( 8-26) Knoxville -5.70 1.70
34 07/10/2012 Home W 25.86 11 6 3A 57 ( 9-27) Oskaloosa 3.01 1.99
35 07/10/2012 Home W 22.86 6 4 3A 57 ( 9-27) Oskaloosa 0.01 1.99
36 07/13/2012 Unknown L * 20.21 2 7 3A 31 (22-15) Washington -2.64 -2.36
Averages 22.85 5.0 5.9
Best game: 36.09 = 11 point win over Washington
Worst game: 9.92 = 17 point loss to Mount Pleasant
Team stdev: 4.92