BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Grinnell

Class: 3A Class Rank: 18 Conference: (16-3-0) Overall: (27-6-0) Overall Strength =   26.64

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Away    W    24.79   3   1   2A  27 (10-26) Albia                  -1.85      3.85                      
  2 05/21/2012 Away    W    27.79   5   0   2A  27 (10-26) Albia                   1.15      3.85                      
  3 05/24/2012 Home    W    26.26  10   0   1A  78 (11-15) Lynnville-Sully        -0.39     10.39                      
  4 05/25/2012 Away    W    33.69  14   2   2A  33 (23-12) East Marshall           7.04      4.96                      
  5 05/30/2012 Away    W    24.47   7   4   3A  50 (15-14) Tama South Tama        -2.17      5.17                      
  6 06/01/2012 Home    W *  32.31  10   0   2A  31 (12-23) Pella Christian         5.67      4.33                      
  7 06/01/2012 Home    W *  32.31  11   1   2A  31 (12-23) Pella Christian         5.67      4.33                      
  8 06/04/2012 Away    W *  25.15   6   2   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville              -1.49      5.49                      
  9 06/06/2012 Home    W *  35.37  10   0   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                 8.73      1.27                      
 10 06/06/2012 Home    W *  29.37   4   0   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                 2.73      1.27                      
 11 06/08/2012 Away    L *  19.40   4  10   3A  27 (19-17) Pella                  -7.25      1.25                      
 12 06/11/2012 Home    W *  21.86   4   3   3A  57 ( 9-27) Oskaloosa              -4.78      5.78                      
 13 06/11/2012 Home    W *  23.86   6   3   3A  57 ( 9-27) Oskaloosa              -2.78      5.78                      
 14 06/13/2012 Away    L *  22.68   6   7   4A  43 (15-20) Newton                 -3.96      2.96                      
 15 06/14/2012 Home    W    31.70  12   2   3A  50 (15-14) Tama South Tama         5.06      4.94                      
 16 06/14/2012 Home    W    26.70   9   4   3A  50 (15-14) Tama South Tama         0.06      4.94                      
 17 06/16/2012 Unknown W    24.73  11   3   1A  69 (13-16) Sigourney              -1.91      9.91                      
 18 06/16/2012 Unknown W    22.92   9   3   2A  80 (16-12) Eldon Cardinal         -3.73      9.73                      
 19 06/18/2012 Away    W *  32.08  13   3   2A  31 (12-23) Pella Christian         5.44      4.56                      
 20 06/20/2012 Home    W *  31.38  12   2   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville               4.74      5.26                      
 21 06/20/2012 Home    W *  25.38  12   8   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville              -1.26      5.26                      
 22 06/22/2012 Away    W *  36.14  15   4   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                 9.49      1.51                      
 23 06/25/2012 Home    W *  26.63   1   0   3A  27 (19-17) Pella                  -0.01      1.01                      
 24 06/25/2012 Home    L *  20.63   0   5   3A  27 (19-17) Pella                  -6.01      1.01                      
 25 06/27/2012 Home    W    31.96  17   8   3A  44 (16-20) Fairfield               5.32      3.68                      
 26 06/29/2012 Home    W *  25.92   3   1   4A  43 (15-20) Newton                 -0.73      2.73                      
 27 06/29/2012 Home    W *  25.92   3   1   4A  43 (15-20) Newton                 -0.73      2.73                      
 28 07/03/2012 Away    W *  23.63   3   0   3A  57 ( 9-27) Oskaloosa              -3.02      6.02                      
 29 07/05/2012 Home    L    19.26   1   7   2A  12 (24- 6) Hudson                 -7.38      1.38                      
 30 07/06/2012 Away    L    22.34   0   1   3A  42 (19-11) Nevada                 -4.30      3.30                      
 31 07/10/2012 Home    W    30.66   7   3   3A  19 (25-15) Williamsburg            4.02     -0.02                      
 32 07/13/2012 Neutral W *  21.74   3   2   3A  57 ( 9-27) Oskaloosa              -4.90      5.90                      
 33 07/16/2012 Neutral L    20.21   3   8   3A  31 (22-15) Washington             -6.43      1.43                      
      Averages              26.64   7.1  3.0

Best game:   36.14 = 11 point win over Norwalk
Worst game:  19.26 = 6 point loss to Hudson
Team stdev:   4.76