BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Harlan

Class: 3A Class Rank: 7 Conference: (17-3-0) Overall: (27-8-0) Overall Strength =   28.38

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/22/2012 Away    L    22.53   2   6   3A  17 (19-14) Carroll                -5.22      1.22                      
  2 05/23/2012 Home    W    30.96  10   0   4A  47 ( 3-33) CB Jefferson            3.21      6.79                      
  3 05/24/2012 Home    W    33.22   6   1   4A  27 (22-19) Sioux City North        5.47     -0.47                      
  4 05/29/2012 Away    W *  31.43   8   0   3A  41 (17-17) Denison-Schleswig       3.68      4.32                      
  5 05/30/2012 Home    W    27.20   4   3   1A   4 (21- 7) CB St Albert           -0.55      1.55                      
  6 05/31/2012 Away    W *  31.29  15   1   2A  78 (10-18) Shenandoah              3.54     10.46  4 innings           
  7 05/31/2012 Away    W *  25.29   9   1   2A  78 (10-18) Shenandoah             -2.46     10.46                      
  8 06/04/2012 Away    W *  32.98   7   1   2A   6 (27-12) Carroll Kuemper         5.23      0.77                      
  9 06/05/2012 Home    L *  23.28   3   5   3A  26 (19-11) Atlantic               -4.47      2.47                      
 10 06/06/2012 Away    L    28.27   5   7   3A   2 (35-11) Sioux City Heelan       0.53     -2.53                      
 11 06/07/2012 Away    W *  29.94  10   2   3A  48 (14-15) Creston                 2.20      5.80                      
 12 06/07/2012 Away    W *  37.94  17   1   3A  48 (14-15) Creston                10.20      5.80                      
 13 06/12/2012 Away    L *  23.70   4   5   4A  40 (17-21) CB Lewis Central       -4.05      3.05                      
 14 06/18/2012 Home    W *  33.66  11   1   3A  41 (17-17) Denison-Schleswig       5.92      4.08                      
 15 06/19/2012 Home    L *  23.22   3   7   2A   6 (27-12) Carroll Kuemper        -4.53      0.53                      
 16 06/21/2012 Away    W *  33.00  10   2   3A  33 (22-13) Glenwood                5.26      2.74                      
 17 06/21/2012 Away    W *  26.00   6   5   3A  33 (22-13) Glenwood               -1.74      2.74                      
 18 06/23/2012 Unknown L    24.50   4   8   1A   2 (31- 4) Lawton-Bronson         -3.25     -0.75                      
 19 06/24/2012 Unknown W    32.08   7   1   1A   4 (21- 7) CB St Albert            4.33      1.67                      
 20 06/24/2012 Unknown W    28.80   9   2   3A  49 (16-14) Spencer                 1.05      5.95                      
 21 06/25/2012 Away    W *  30.04   5   0   3A  26 (19-11) Atlantic                2.30      2.70                      
 22 06/26/2012 Home    W    29.84  20  10   2A  60 (14-11) Neola Tri-Center        2.09      7.91                      
 23 06/27/2012 Home    W    24.01   3   0   4A  46 ( 4-30) Sioux City West        -3.74      6.74                      
 24 06/28/2012 Home    W *  24.72  12   0   3A  64 ( 1-27) Red Oak                -3.02 *   15.02                      
 25 06/28/2012 Home    W *  14.72   6   4   3A  64 ( 1-27) Red Oak               -13.02 *   15.02                      
 26 07/02/2012 Home    W *  26.94   5   3   4A  40 (17-21) CB Lewis Central       -0.81      2.81                      
 27 07/03/2012 Home    W *  29.78  12   2   2A  58 (11-19) Clarinda                2.03      7.97                      
 28 07/03/2012 Home    W *  25.78   8   2   2A  58 (11-19) Clarinda               -1.97      7.97                      
 29 07/06/2012 Away    L    23.21   1   5   3A  13 (28- 7) LeMars                 -4.53      0.53                      
 30 07/09/2012 Home    W    30.61   3   0   4A  29 (21-16) CB Lincoln              2.86      0.14                      
 31 07/11/2012 Away    W    32.72  12   0   4A  47 ( 3-33) CB Jefferson            4.98      7.02                      
 32 07/13/2012 Neutral W *  23.61  11   0   3A  64 ( 1-27) Red Oak                -4.14 *   15.14                      
 33 07/16/2012 Unknown W *  29.12   7   3   3A  33 (22-13) Glenwood                1.37      2.63                      
 34 07/18/2012 Unknown W    27.65   3   2   3A  17 (19-14) Carroll                -0.10      1.10                      
 35 07/24/2012 Unknown L    19.11   1  12   3A   3 (35-10) Epworth W Dubuque      -8.64     -2.36                      
      Averages              27.75   7.4  2.9

Best game:   37.94 = 16 point win over Creston
Worst game:  14.72 = 2 point win over Red Oak
Team stdev:   4.69