BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Johnston
Class: 4A Class Rank: 6 Conference: (16-20-0) Overall: (20-20-0) Overall Strength = 32.27
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 05/22/2012 Home W * 33.02 8 1 4A 38 ( 7-30) Ames 0.75 6.25
2 05/23/2012 Away L * 26.52 4 7 4A 16 (25-15) Des Moines East -5.75 2.75
3 05/23/2012 Away W * 34.52 7 2 4A 16 (25-15) Des Moines East 2.25 2.75
4 05/25/2012 Home W * 43.26 11 1 4A 3 (34-10) WDM Valley 10.99 -0.99
5 05/26/2012 Home W 27.69 2 1 4A 35 (19-16) Boone -4.58 5.58
6 05/26/2012 Unknown W 29.82 6 1 4A 40 (17-21) CB Lewis Central -2.45 7.45
7 05/29/2012 Home W * 38.60 11 1 4A 24 (19-23) Marshalltown 6.33 3.67
8 05/29/2012 Home W * 34.60 7 1 4A 24 (19-23) Marshalltown 2.33 3.67
9 06/04/2012 Away W * 35.17 9 7 4A 5 (28-14) Southeast Polk 2.90 -0.90
10 06/04/2012 Away L * 27.17 2 8 4A 5 (28-14) Southeast Polk -5.10 -0.90
11 06/05/2012 Away W 35.50 4 0 3A 1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes 3.22 0.78
12 06/07/2012 Home L * 26.99 2 11 4A 1 (43- 2) Ankeny -5.28 -3.72
13 06/07/2012 Home L * 34.99 1 2 4A 1 (43- 2) Ankeny 2.72 -3.72
14 06/08/2012 Away L * 30.73 2 3 4A 8 (29-11) Waukee -1.54 0.54
15 06/08/2012 Away L * 29.73 4 6 4A 8 (29-11) Waukee -2.54 0.54
16 06/11/2012 Away W * 41.29 14 3 4A 14 (17-24) Urbandale 9.02 1.98
17 06/11/2012 Away L * 29.29 2 3 4A 14 (17-24) Urbandale -2.98 1.98
18 06/14/2012 Home L * 26.59 4 7 4A 19 (17-23) Indianola -5.68 2.68
19 06/14/2012 Home W * 39.59 12 2 4A 19 (17-23) Indianola 7.32 2.68
20 06/18/2012 Away L * 32.16 2 3 4A 2 (32-11) WDM Dowling -0.11 -0.89
21 06/18/2012 Away W * 35.16 3 1 4A 2 (32-11) WDM Dowling 2.89 -0.89
22 06/21/2012 Home W * 35.41 3 1 4A 5 (28-14) Southeast Polk 3.14 -1.14
23 06/21/2012 Home L * 32.41 3 4 4A 5 (28-14) Southeast Polk 0.14 -1.14
24 06/22/2012 Away W * 28.08 3 1 4A 36 (14-25) Des Moines Lincoln -4.19 6.19
25 06/25/2012 Away L * 30.75 0 5 4A 1 (43- 2) Ankeny -1.52 -3.48
26 06/25/2012 Away L * 32.75 2 5 4A 1 (43- 2) Ankeny 0.48 -3.48
27 06/28/2012 Home W * 32.52 2 0 4A 14 (17-24) Urbandale 0.25 1.75
28 06/28/2012 Home L * 29.52 4 5 4A 14 (17-24) Urbandale -2.75 1.75
29 06/30/2012 Home W 33.17 8 0 3A 32 (11-23) Carlisle 0.90 7.10
30 07/02/2012 Away L * 28.35 0 1 4A 19 (17-23) Indianola -3.92 2.92
31 07/02/2012 Away L * 27.35 3 5 4A 19 (17-23) Indianola -4.92 2.92
32 07/05/2012 Home L * 29.40 0 4 4A 2 (32-11) WDM Dowling -2.87 -1.13
33 07/05/2012 Home L * 31.40 2 4 4A 2 (32-11) WDM Dowling -0.87 -1.13
34 07/09/2012 Away L * 28.49 4 5 4A 17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt -3.78 2.78
35 07/09/2012 Away W * 31.49 5 3 4A 17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt -0.78 2.78
36 07/10/2012 Home L * 27.24 0 5 4A 7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge -5.04 0.04
37 07/10/2012 Home W * 36.24 8 4 4A 7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge 3.96 0.04
38 07/13/2012 Home W * 38.31 12 0 4A 36 (14-25) Des Moines Lincoln 6.04 5.96
39 07/16/2012 Unknown W * 33.41 5 2 4A 14 (17-24) Urbandale 1.13 1.87
40 07/18/2012 Away L * 32.16 5 6 4A 2 (32-11) WDM Dowling -0.11 -0.89
Averages 32.27 4.7 3.3
Best game: 43.26 = 10 point win over West Des Moines Valley
Worst game: 26.52 = 3 point loss to Des Moines East
Team stdev: 4.19