BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Muscatine

Class: 4A Class Rank: 13 Conference: (10-9-0) Overall: (26-12-0) Overall Strength =   30.59

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Home    W    34.30  12   2   3A  35 (17-24) Solon                   3.71      6.29                      
  2 05/21/2012 Home    W    26.30   2   0   3A  35 (17-24) Solon                  -4.29      6.29                      
  3 05/24/2012 Away    W    35.54   7   0   4A  21 (24-16) Iowa City High          4.95      2.05  Forfeit             
  4 05/29/2012 Away    W    39.45  22   2   3A  60 (13-26) Keokuk                  8.86     11.14                      
  5 05/29/2012 Away    W    23.45   5   1   3A  60 (13-26) Keokuk                 -7.14     11.14                      
  6 05/31/2012 Home    L *  27.49   2   3   4A  25 (18-20) Davenport West         -3.10      2.10                      
  7 05/31/2012 Home    W *  29.49   2   1   4A  25 (18-20) Davenport West         -1.10      2.10                      
  8 06/02/2012 Home    W    27.92   6   5   3A  15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant         -2.67      3.67                      
  9 06/02/2012 Home    W    31.92   7   2   3A  15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant          1.33      3.67                      
 10 06/04/2012 Away    L *  27.08   2   3   4A  26 (18-22) Davenport North        -3.51      2.51                      
 11 06/04/2012 Away    W *  33.08   5   0   4A  26 (18-22) Davenport North         2.49      2.51                      
 12 06/05/2012 Away    W    33.19  12   2   2A  24 (21-17) Wellman Mid-Prairie     2.60      7.40                      
 13 06/05/2012 Away    W    39.19  18   2   2A  24 (21-17) Wellman Mid-Prairie     8.60      7.40                      
 14 06/07/2012 Home    W *  31.12   7   1   4A  39 (12-23) Burlington              0.53      5.47                      
 15 06/07/2012 Home    W *  29.12   7   3   4A  39 (12-23) Burlington             -1.47      5.47                      
 16 06/09/2012 Away    L    26.90   5   9   4A  10 (29-12) Marion Linn-Mar        -3.69     -0.31                      
 17 06/09/2012 Unknown W    37.87   9   7   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                  7.28     -5.28                      
 18 06/11/2012 Away    L *  27.48   5   6   4A  22 (19-18) Bettendorf             -3.11      2.11                      
 19 06/11/2012 Away    W *  29.48  11  10   4A  22 (19-18) Bettendorf             -1.11      2.11                      
 20 06/14/2012 Home    L *  26.07  21  22   4A  32 (20-14) Clinton                -4.52      3.52                      
 21 06/14/2012 Home    W *  28.07   5   4   4A  32 (20-14) Clinton                -2.52      3.52                      
 22 06/16/2012 Unknown W    24.26   9   8   1A  17 (24-17) Lansing Kee            -6.33      7.33                      
 23 06/18/2012 Away    L *  22.23   5  13   4A  15 (27-14) Pleasant Valley        -8.36      0.36                      
 24 06/18/2012 Away    L *  28.23   6   8   4A  15 (27-14) Pleasant Valley        -2.36      0.36                      
 25 06/20/2012 Home    L    28.77   5   8   4A   9 (34- 9) Iowa City West         -1.82     -1.18                      
 26 06/25/2012 Home    W *  28.91   2   1   4A  28 (14-22) Davenport Central      -1.68      2.68                      
 27 06/25/2012 Home    W *  30.91   6   3   4A  28 (14-22) Davenport Central       0.32      2.68                      
 28 06/26/2012 Home    W    33.20  13   3   3A  43 (14-24) Fort Madison            2.61      7.39                      
 29 06/26/2012 Home    W    38.20  16   1   3A  43 (14-24) Fort Madison            7.61      7.39                      
 30 06/27/2012 Away    W    44.98  20   2   2A   5 (25-13) Iowa City Regina       14.39      3.61                      
 31 07/02/2012 Away    L *  21.68   1  10   4A  11 (31- 9) Eldridge North Scott   -8.91     -0.09                      
 32 07/02/2012 Away    L *  28.68   1   3   4A  11 (31- 9) Eldridge North Scott   -1.91     -0.09                      
 33 07/05/2012 Home    L *  26.71   1   4   3A   5 (26-13) Davenport Assumption   -3.88      0.88                      
 34 07/05/2012 Home    W *  34.71   7   2   3A   5 (26-13) Davenport Assumption    4.12      0.88                      
 35 07/10/2012 Away    W *  31.25   7   4   4A  25 (18-20) Davenport West          0.66      2.34                      
 36 07/13/2012 Home    W    33.80   9   2   4A  34 (15-24) CR Jefferson            3.21      3.79                      
 37 07/16/2012 Home    W    31.49   8   6   4A  20 (23-18) Cedar Rapids Prairie    0.90      1.10                      
 38 07/18/2012 Away    L    29.90   1   2   4A  10 (29-12) Marion Linn-Mar        -0.69     -0.31                      
      Averages              30.59   7.6  4.3

Best game:   44.98 = 18 point win over Iowa City Regina
Worst game:  21.68 = 9 point loss to Eldridge North Scott
Team stdev:   5.02