BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Newton

Class: 4A Class Rank: 43 Conference: (11-7-0) Overall: (15-20-0) Overall Strength =   23.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Home    L    26.60   1   3   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            2.80     -4.80                      
  2 05/21/2012 Home    L    24.60   1   5   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            0.80     -4.80                      
  3 05/23/2012 Away    L    23.46   0   3   4A  35 (19-16) Boone                  -0.34     -2.66                      
  4 05/24/2012 Away    L    25.37   2   4   3A  11 (25-11) Chariton                1.57     -3.57                      
  5 05/29/2012 Away    L    17.75   4  10   3A  37 (15-19) Bondurant-Farrar       -6.05      0.05                      
  6 05/30/2012 Away    W *  28.63  14   6   3A  57 ( 9-27) Oskaloosa               4.83      3.17                      
  7 06/01/2012 Home    W *  26.63   2   1   3A  27 (19-17) Pella                   2.83     -1.83                      
  8 06/01/2012 Home    W *  27.63   3   1   3A  27 (19-17) Pella                   3.83     -1.83                      
  9 06/02/2012 Away    L    12.02   4   8   1A  78 (11-15) Lynnville-Sully       -11.77      7.77                      
 10 06/04/2012 Away    W *  27.14   7   5   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                 3.34     -1.34                      
 11 06/06/2012 Home    W *  23.31   2   1   2A  31 (12-23) Pella Christian        -0.48      1.48                      
 12 06/06/2012 Home    L *  18.31   2   6   2A  31 (12-23) Pella Christian        -5.48      1.48                      
 13 06/07/2012 Away    W    26.46   5   3   2A  14 (23-18) Roland-Story            2.66     -0.66                      
 14 06/08/2012 Away    W *  22.15   4   3   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville              -1.65      2.65                      
 15 06/12/2012 Away    L    27.09   3   4   3A   8 (26-15) Adel ADM                3.29     -4.29                      
 16 06/13/2012 Home    W *  27.76   7   6   3A  18 (27- 6) Grinnell                3.96     -2.96                      
 17 06/18/2012 Away    W *  27.40   6   4   3A  27 (19-17) Pella                   3.60     -1.60                      
 18 06/20/2012 Home    L *  21.37   0   4   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                -2.43     -1.57  Austin LaVelle No Hitter.
 19 06/20/2012 Home    L *  21.37   1   5   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                -2.43     -1.57                      
 20 06/22/2012 Unknown L    24.28   1   6   2A   2 (42- 2) Bloomfield Davis        0.48     -5.48                      
 21 06/23/2012 Unknown L    17.91   1   6   2A  27 (10-26) Albia                  -5.89      0.89                      
 22 06/23/2012 Unknown W    27.80   8   2   2A  33 (23-12) East Marshall           4.00      2.00                      
 23 06/25/2012 Home    W *  23.38   2   0   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville              -0.41      2.41                      
 24 06/25/2012 Home    W *  22.38   8   7   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville              -1.41      2.41                      
 25 06/27/2012 Away    W    24.47   5   2   3A  50 (15-14) Tama South Tama         0.67      2.33                      
 26 06/28/2012 Home    W *  23.86   3   0   3A  57 ( 9-27) Oskaloosa               0.06      2.94                      
 27 06/28/2012 Home    L *  19.86   6   7   3A  57 ( 9-27) Oskaloosa              -3.94      2.94                      
 28 06/29/2012 Away    L *  24.53   1   3   3A  18 (27- 6) Grinnell                0.73     -2.73                      
 29 06/29/2012 Away    L *  24.53   1   3   3A  18 (27- 6) Grinnell                0.73     -2.73                      
 30 07/03/2012 Away    L *  19.08   1   4   2A  31 (12-23) Pella Christian        -4.72      1.72                      
 31 07/05/2012 Home    L    11.70   1  11   3A  50 (15-14) Tama South Tama       -12.09      2.09                      
 32 07/06/2012 Home    L    24.51   4   6   3A  21 (23-14) Saydel                  0.71     -2.71                      
 33 07/09/2012 Home    L    26.73   1   6   3A   1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes    2.93     -7.93                      
 34 07/11/2012 Home    W    34.69   9   1   4A  35 (19-16) Boone                  10.89     -2.89                      
 35 07/13/2012 Away    L    28.17   0   5   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk          4.38     -9.38                      
      Averages              23.80   3.4  4.3

Best game:   34.69 = 8 point win over Boone
Worst game:  11.70 = 10 point loss to Tama South Tama
Team stdev:   4.60