BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Spencer

Class: 3A Class Rank: 49 Conference: (8-8-0) Overall: (16-14-0) Overall Strength =   21.80

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Home    W    25.02   7   2   2A  56 (12-15) Sheldon                 3.22      1.78                      
  2 05/22/2012 Away    L    19.43   6  10   3A  41 (17-17) Denison-Schleswig      -2.37     -1.63                      
  3 05/31/2012 Home    W    26.73   2   1   1A   6 (37- 9) Algona Garrigan         4.93     -3.93                      
  4 06/01/2012 Home    L *  15.03   1   7   2A  43 (12-14) Emmetsburg             -6.77      0.77                      
  5 06/02/2012 Home    W    26.08  10   5   2A  45 (20- 9) Sioux Central           4.28      0.72                      
  6 06/02/2012 Home    W    26.01   9   4   4A  46 ( 4-30) Sioux City West         4.20      0.80                      
  7 06/04/2012 Home    W *  25.11  14  13   3A  38 (18- 9) Spirit Lake             3.31     -2.31                      
  8 06/06/2012 Away    W *  25.77  12   6   2A  57 (11-19) Estherville LC          3.97      2.03                      
  9 06/07/2012 Home    L    19.24   3   6   2A  29 (26- 7) North Union NSK-AR     -2.56     -0.44                      
 10 06/08/2012 Home    L *  15.45   0  12   3A  13 (28- 7) LeMars                 -6.35     -5.65                      
 11 06/11/2012 Away    L *  17.45   2   5   2A  50 (15-15) Western Christian      -4.35      1.35                      
 12 06/13/2012 Away    W *  19.39   2   1   2A  68 ( 5-20) Cherokee Washington    -2.41      3.41                      
 13 06/18/2012 Home    L *   6.82  11  27   3A  45 (16-14) Storm Lake            -14.98     -1.02                      
 14 06/22/2012 Away    L *  16.88   2   9   3A  38 (18- 9) Spirit Lake            -4.92     -2.08                      
 15 06/23/2012 Away    L    15.98   0  11   2A   6 (27-12) Carroll Kuemper        -5.82     -5.18                      
 16 06/24/2012 Unknown L    20.75   2   9   3A   7 (27- 8) Harlan                 -1.05     -5.95                      
 17 06/24/2012 Unknown W    20.77   2   1   2A  59 (11-20) Jefferson JSPC         -1.03      2.03                      
 18 06/25/2012 Home    W *  25.00   6   1   2A  57 (11-19) Estherville LC          3.20      1.80                      
 19 06/27/2012 Away    L *  22.21   1   6   3A  13 (28- 7) LeMars                  0.41     -5.41                      
 20 06/28/2012 Away    W *  22.80   5   3   2A  43 (12-14) Emmetsburg              1.00      1.00                      
 21 06/29/2012 Home    W *  21.68   4   3   2A  50 (15-15) Western Christian      -0.12      1.12                      
 22 07/02/2012 Home    W *  21.63   4   1   2A  68 ( 5-20) Cherokee Washington    -0.18      3.18                      
 23 07/03/2012 Away    L *  21.58   3   4   3A  45 (16-14) Storm Lake             -0.22     -0.78                      
 24 07/05/2012 Home    W    29.31  10   4   2A  23 (23-11) Alta-Aurelia            7.51     -1.51                      
 25 07/06/2012 Away    L    17.50   2  10   1A   6 (37- 9) Algona Garrigan        -4.30     -3.70                      
 26 07/09/2012 Away    W    27.00   7   2   3A  47 (13-19) Algona                  5.20     -0.20                      
 27 07/10/2012 Away    W    26.40   9   4   3A  51 (18-12) MOC-Floyd Valley        4.59      0.41                      
 28 07/11/2012 Home    L    22.82   1   5   3A  16 (27-13) Sergeant Bluff-Luton    1.01     -5.01                      
 29 07/13/2012 Unknown W *  27.99   9   5   3A  38 (18- 9) Spirit Lake             6.19     -2.19                      
 30 07/16/2012 Away    L *  26.21   5   6   3A  13 (28- 7) LeMars                  4.41     -5.41                      
      Averages              21.80   5.0  6.1

Best game:   29.31 = 6 point win over Alta-Aurelia
Worst game:   6.82 = 16 point loss to Storm Lake
Team stdev:   4.91