BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Urbandale

Class: 4A Class Rank: 14 Conference: (15-22-0) Overall: (17-24-0) Overall Strength =   30.41

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Home    W    34.37  13   4   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                 3.97      5.03                      
  2 05/22/2012 Home    W    36.18   8   1   2A   3 (31- 5) Alleman North Polk      5.77      1.23                      
  3 05/25/2012 Away    W *  29.67   6   3   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City             -0.73      3.73                      
  4 05/25/2012 Away    W *  35.67   9   0   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City              5.27      3.73                      
  5 05/29/2012 Home    L *  27.76   2   4   4A  16 (25-15) Des Moines East        -2.65      0.65                      
  6 05/29/2012 Home    L *  26.76   4   7   4A  16 (25-15) Des Moines East        -3.65      0.65                      
  7 06/01/2012 Away    L *  30.03   4   7   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -0.38     -2.62                      
  8 06/04/2012 Away    L *  23.16   2  12   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling            -7.24     -2.76                      
  9 06/04/2012 Away    L *  30.16   1   4   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling            -0.24     -2.76                      
 10 06/07/2012 Away    W *  34.17   4   3   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk          3.77     -2.77                      
 11 06/07/2012 Away    W *  37.17   6   2   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk          6.77     -2.77                      
 12 06/08/2012 Away    L *  25.92   4   5   4A  31 (19-19) Ottumwa                -4.49      3.49                      
 13 06/08/2012 Away    W *  36.92  11   1   4A  31 (19-19) Ottumwa                 6.51      3.49                      
 14 06/11/2012 Home    L *  21.39   3  14   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston               -9.02     -1.98                      
 15 06/11/2012 Home    W *  33.39   3   2   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston                2.98     -1.98                      
 16 06/14/2012 Away    L *  34.75   1   2   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                  4.35     -5.35                      
 17 06/14/2012 Away    L *  31.75   4   8   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                  1.35     -5.35                      
 18 06/18/2012 Home    L *  23.59   2   8   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola              -6.82      0.82                      
 19 06/18/2012 Home    W *  32.59   8   5   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola               2.18      0.82                      
 20 06/19/2012 Away    W *  32.79  12   5   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                    2.38      4.62                      
 21 06/19/2012 Away    W *  35.79  15   5   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                    5.38      4.62                      
 22 06/20/2012 Home    L *  29.24   3   6   4A   7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge             -1.17     -1.83                      
 23 06/21/2012 Home    L *  24.40   3  12   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling            -6.01     -2.99                      
 24 06/21/2012 Home    L *  28.40   3   8   4A   2 (32-11) WDM Dowling            -2.01     -2.99                      
 25 06/25/2012 Home    L *  31.41   1   3   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk          1.00     -3.00                      
 26 06/25/2012 Home    W *  37.41   5   1   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk          7.00     -3.00                      
 27 06/28/2012 Away    L *  30.15   0   2   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston               -0.25     -1.75                      
 28 06/28/2012 Away    W *  33.15   5   4   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston                2.75     -1.75                      
 29 06/29/2012 Unknown L    26.20   2   4   3A   8 (26-15) Adel ADM               -4.20      2.20                      
 30 06/29/2012 Unknown L    28.59   0   1   3A   5 (26-13) Davenport Assumption   -1.81      0.81                      
 31 07/02/2012 Home    L *  26.99   1  10   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                 -3.42     -5.58                      
 32 07/02/2012 Home    L *  24.99   0  11   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                 -5.42     -5.58                      
 33 07/05/2012 Away    L *  26.35   1   4   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola              -4.05      1.05                      
 34 07/05/2012 Away    W *  32.35   5   2   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola               1.95      1.05                      
 35 07/06/2012 Home    L *  26.26   4  11   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -4.14     -2.86                      
 36 07/09/2012 Away    W *  32.73   3   2   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                  2.32     -1.32                      
 37 07/09/2012 Away    L *  30.73   2   3   4A   8 (29-11) Waukee                  0.32     -1.32                      
 38 07/10/2012 Home    L *  26.72   1   4   4A  17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt   -3.68      0.68                      
 39 07/10/2012 Home    W *  30.72   6   5   4A  17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt    0.32      0.68                      
 40 07/13/2012 Home    W *  36.59   8   1   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola               6.18      0.82                      
 41 07/16/2012 Unknown L *  29.27   2   5   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston               -1.13     -1.87                      
      Averages              30.41   4.3  4.9

Best game:   37.41 = 4 point win over Pleasant Hill Southeast Polk
Worst game:  21.39 = 11 point loss to Johnston
Team stdev:   4.26