BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Waukee

Class: 4A Class Rank: 8 Conference: (27-11-0) Overall: (29-11-0) Overall Strength =   31.88

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/24/2012 Home    W *  40.41  11   4   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk          8.56     -1.56                      
  2 05/24/2012 Home    W *  34.41   7   6   4A   5 (28-14) Southeast Polk          2.56     -1.56                      
  3 05/29/2012 Away    W *  36.08  10   0   4A  36 (14-25) Des Moines Lincoln      4.23      5.77  5 innings           
  4 05/29/2012 Away    W *  27.08   1   0   4A  36 (14-25) Des Moines Lincoln     -4.77      5.77                      
  5 05/30/2012 Away    W *  30.49   3   2   4A  17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt   -1.36      2.36                      
  6 05/30/2012 Away    W *  32.49   5   2   4A  17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt    0.64      2.36                      
  7 06/05/2012 Unknown L *  32.87   6   9   4A   1 (43- 2) Ankeny                  1.02     -4.02                      
  8 06/06/2012 Home    W *  30.91   4   0   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City             -0.94      4.94                      
  9 06/06/2012 Home    W *  29.91   4   1   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City             -1.94      4.94                      
 10 06/07/2012 Away    W *  36.79  15   4   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                    4.94      6.06                      
 11 06/07/2012 Away    W *  26.79   7   6   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                   -5.06      6.06                      
 12 06/08/2012 Home    W *  33.39   3   2   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston                1.54     -0.54                      
 13 06/08/2012 Home    W *  34.39   6   4   4A   6 (20-20) Johnston                2.54     -0.54                      
 14 06/11/2012 Away    L *  30.00   1   3   4A   7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge             -1.84     -0.16                      
 15 06/11/2012 Away    L *  29.00   3   6   4A   7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge             -2.84     -0.16                      
 16 06/12/2012 Home    W    33.73   3   1   3A   1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes    1.88      0.12                      
 17 06/14/2012 Home    L *  29.26   3   7   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -2.58     -1.42                      
 18 06/14/2012 Home    W *  35.26   2   0   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley              3.42     -1.42                      
 19 06/16/2012 Away    L *  28.35   4   5   4A  19 (17-23) Indianola              -3.49      2.49                      
 20 06/16/2012 Unknown W *  34.64   8   3   4A  16 (25-15) Des Moines East         2.79      2.21                      
 21 06/18/2012 Home    L *  26.60   2   4   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown           -5.25      3.25                      
 22 06/18/2012 Home    W *  36.60   8   0   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            4.75      3.25                      
 23 06/20/2012 Away    W *  35.57  12   0   4A  44 ( 7-29) Des Moines Hoover       3.73      8.27                      
 24 06/20/2012 Away    W *  27.57   5   1   4A  44 ( 7-29) Des Moines Hoover      -4.27      8.27                      
 25 06/21/2012 Away    W *  36.67  11   1   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City              4.83      5.17                      
 26 06/21/2012 Away    W *  30.67   4   0   4A  33 (14-27) Mason City             -1.17      5.17                      
 27 06/25/2012 Home    W *  30.02   7   3   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                   -1.82      5.82                      
 28 06/25/2012 Home    W *  34.02   9   1   4A  38 ( 7-30) Ames                    2.18      5.82                      
 29 06/28/2012 Home    L *  31.24   4   5   4A   7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge             -0.61     -0.39                      
 30 06/28/2012 Home    L *  26.24   1   7   4A   7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge             -5.61     -0.39                      
 31 07/02/2012 Away    L *  31.03   6   8   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -0.82     -1.18                      
 32 07/02/2012 Away    W *  34.03   6   5   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley              2.18     -1.18                      
 33 07/05/2012 Away    W *  37.37  13   4   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            5.52      3.48                      
 34 07/05/2012 Away    W *  32.37   8   4   4A  24 (19-23) Marshalltown            0.52      3.48                      
 35 07/09/2012 Home    L *  29.52   2   3   4A  14 (17-24) Urbandale              -2.32      1.32                      
 36 07/09/2012 Home    W *  31.52   3   2   4A  14 (17-24) Urbandale              -0.32      1.32                      
 37 07/10/2012 Away    W *  37.22  20   1   4A  48 ( 2-34) Des Moines North        5.37 *   13.63                      
 38 07/10/2012 Away    W *  25.22   7   0   4A  48 ( 2-34) Des Moines North       -6.63 *   13.63                      
 39 07/13/2012 Home    W    30.96  10   0   4A  47 ( 3-33) CB Jefferson           -0.89     10.89                      
 40 07/18/2012 Unknown L *  23.15   2  12   4A   3 (34-10) WDM Valley             -8.70     -1.30                      
      Averages              31.85   6.2  3.1

Best game:   40.41 = 7 point win over Pleasant Hill Southeast Polk
Worst game:  23.15 = 10 point loss to West Des Moines Valley
Team stdev:   3.85