BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Waukon

Class: 3A Class Rank: 52 Conference: (4-15-0) Overall: (9-25-0) Overall Strength =   21.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/22/2012 Away    L    17.80   2   6   2A  32 (23-20) North Fayette          -3.70     -0.30                      
  2 05/25/2012 Home    L    15.59   3   6   2A  69 (13-22) Clayton Ridge          -5.92      2.92                      
  3 05/26/2012 Away    L    17.32   5   7   1A  44 (13-19) Edgewood-Colesburg     -4.19      2.19                      
  4 05/26/2012 Away    W    18.83   5   2   1A  80 ( 8-18) Tripoli                -2.67      5.67                      
  5 05/29/2012 Away    L *  21.87   5   7   3A  39 (19-16) Waverly-Shell Rock      0.36     -2.36                      
  6 05/29/2012 Away    L *  22.87   6   7   3A  39 (19-16) Waverly-Shell Rock      1.36     -2.36                      
  7 05/30/2012 Home    L    19.67  10  11   2A  51 (11-13) Monona MFL-MarMac      -1.83      0.83                      
  8 06/01/2012 Home    L    16.38   1   8   1A  17 (24-17) Lansing Kee            -5.13     -1.87                      
  9 06/01/2012 Home    W    26.38  10   7   1A  17 (24-17) Lansing Kee             4.87     -1.87                      
 10 06/05/2012 Home    L *  21.27   4   7   3A  36 (18-19) Charles City           -0.24     -2.76                      
 11 06/05/2012 Home    L *  21.27   6   9   3A  36 (18-19) Charles City           -0.24     -2.76                      
 12 06/06/2012 Away    L    22.41  15  16   1A  15 (26-13) Turkey Valley           0.90     -1.90                      
 13 06/08/2012 Home    L *  16.86   1  12   3A  10 (28-11) Decorah                -4.65     -6.35  5 innings           
 14 06/09/2012 Unknown L     3.19   4  18   2A  79 ( 5-22) Denver                -18.31      4.31                      
 15 06/09/2012 Unknown L    17.92   6  10   2A  32 (23-20) North Fayette          -3.58     -0.42                      
 16 06/11/2012 Home    L *  23.90   3   5   3A  23 (25-11) Oelwein                 2.39     -4.39                      
 17 06/13/2012 Away    W *  28.42   8   6   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton             6.91     -4.91                      
 18 06/15/2012 Away    L *  20.26   6   7   3A  53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood       -1.24      0.24                      
 19 06/18/2012 Home    W *  26.10   7   5   3A  39 (19-16) Waverly-Shell Rock      4.59     -2.59                      
 20 06/20/2012 Home    W    26.82  17   7   1A  70 ( 7-20) Postville               5.32      4.68                      
 21 06/22/2012 Away    L *  23.03   1   2   3A  36 (18-19) Charles City            1.53     -2.53                      
 22 06/23/2012 Home    L    16.11   1   8   2A  26 (25-12) South Winneshiek       -5.39     -1.61                      
 23 06/23/2012 Home    W    28.77   9   2   1A  26 (17-12) Gladbrook-Reinbeck      7.27     -0.27                      
 24 06/26/2012 Away    L *  25.63   5   7   3A  10 (28-11) Decorah                 4.12     -6.12                      
 25 06/26/2012 Away    L *  25.63   7   9   3A  10 (28-11) Decorah                 4.12     -6.12                      
 26 06/27/2012 Home    L    20.11   2   5   2A  26 (25-12) South Winneshiek       -1.39     -1.61                      
 27 06/29/2012 Away    L *  19.66   9  15   3A  23 (25-11) Oelwein                -1.84     -4.16                      
 28 06/29/2012 Away    L *  20.66   3   8   3A  23 (25-11) Oelwein                -0.84     -4.16                      
 29 07/03/2012 Home    L *  19.65   3  10   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton            -1.85     -5.15                      
 30 07/03/2012 Home    L *  16.65   2  12   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton            -4.85     -5.15                      
 31 07/05/2012 Home    W    24.64   7   6   1A  15 (26-13) Turkey Valley           3.13     -2.13                      
 32 07/06/2012 Home    W *  31.50  12   2   3A  53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood        9.99      0.01                      
 33 07/06/2012 Home    W *  28.50   9   2   3A  53 (11-26) Cresco Crestwood        6.99      0.01                      
 34 07/13/2012 Neutral L *  25.54   5   6   3A  20 (23- 8) New Hampton             4.03     -5.03                      
      Averages              21.51   5.9  7.6

Best game:   31.50 = 10 point win over Cresco Crestwood
Worst game:   3.19 = 14 point loss to Denver
Team stdev:   5.31