BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Williamsburg

Class: 3A Class Rank: 19 Conference: (18-12-0) Overall: (25-15-0) Overall Strength =   26.54

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Away    W    32.73  12   2   3A  44 (16-20) Fairfield               6.18      3.82                      
  2 05/21/2012 Away    W    31.73  12   3   3A  44 (16-20) Fairfield               5.18      3.82                      
  3 05/25/2012 Unknown L *  15.11   3  15   3A  14 (22-16) West Delaware         -11.43     -0.57                      
  4 05/25/2012 Unknown W *  34.11   8   1   3A  14 (22-16) West Delaware           7.57     -0.57                      
  5 05/26/2012 Away    W    32.54   2   1   4A   9 (34- 9) Iowa City West          6.00     -5.00                      
  6 05/29/2012 Away    L *  18.26   4   5   3A  62 ( 5-30) Independence           -8.29      7.29                      
  7 05/29/2012 Away    W *  35.26  21   5   3A  62 ( 5-30) Independence            8.71      7.29                      
  8 06/04/2012 Home    L *  19.20   5   7   3A  55 ( 9-29) Center Point-Urbana    -7.34      5.34                      
  9 06/04/2012 Home    W *  22.20   9   8   3A  55 ( 9-29) Center Point-Urbana    -4.34      5.34                      
 10 06/06/2012 Away    L *  20.24   6  16   2A   1 (38- 7) Dyersville Beckman     -6.30     -3.70                      
 11 06/06/2012 Away    W *  39.24  13   4   2A   1 (38- 7) Dyersville Beckman     12.70     -3.70                      
 12 06/08/2012 Away    W *  25.24   2   1   2A  17 (16-22) Mount Vernon           -1.31      2.31                      
 13 06/08/2012 Away    W *  27.24   6   3   2A  17 (16-22) Mount Vernon            0.69      2.31                      
 14 06/11/2012 Home    L *  22.02   2   5   3A  34 (18-24) Vinton-Shellsburg      -4.52      1.52                      
 15 06/11/2012 Home    W *  35.02  10   0   3A  34 (18-24) Vinton-Shellsburg       8.48      1.52                      
 16 06/14/2012 Away    W *  28.25   7   6   3A  12 (29-13) Marion                  1.70     -0.70                      
 17 06/14/2012 Away    W *  29.25   9   7   3A  12 (29-13) Marion                  2.70     -0.70                      
 18 06/16/2012 Home    W    27.92   4   3   3A  15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant          1.38     -0.38                      
 19 06/16/2012 Home    W    27.92   7   6   3A  15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant          1.38     -0.38                      
 20 06/18/2012 Away    W *  25.39  10   4   3A  61 ( 6-28) Clear Creek-Amana      -1.15      7.15                      
 21 06/18/2012 Away    W *  25.39   9   3   3A  61 ( 6-28) Clear Creek-Amana      -1.15      7.15                      
 22 06/20/2012 Home    L    18.33   2   9   3A  31 (22-15) Washington             -8.22      1.22                      
 23 06/21/2012 Home    L *  21.22   5  14   3A   3 (35-10) Epworth W Dubuque      -5.32     -3.68                      
 24 06/21/2012 Home    L *  26.22   2   6   3A   3 (35-10) Epworth W Dubuque      -0.32     -3.68                      
 25 06/25/2012 Home    L *  15.88   2  16   3A   4 (35- 8) Van Horne Benton      -10.66     -3.34                      
 26 06/25/2012 Home    L *  23.88   2   8   3A   4 (35- 8) Van Horne Benton       -2.66     -3.34                      
 27 06/27/2012 Home    L *  22.85   5   8   3A  24 (19-20) Central Clinton        -3.70      0.70                      
 28 06/27/2012 Home    W *  29.85  12   8   3A  24 (19-20) Central Clinton         3.30      0.70                      
 29 07/02/2012 Away    L *  27.45   2   3   2A   4 (28-10) Waterloo Columbus       0.90     -1.90                      
 30 07/02/2012 Away    W *  33.45  13   8   2A   4 (28-10) Waterloo Columbus       6.90     -1.90                      
 31 07/05/2012 Away    W *  35.07  13   2   3A  35 (17-24) Solon                   8.52      2.48  5 innings           
 32 07/05/2012 Away    W *  31.07   9   2   3A  35 (17-24) Solon                   4.52      2.48                      
 33 07/06/2012 Home    L *  24.95   2   5   3A   9 (27-14) Maquoketa              -1.60     -1.40                      
 34 07/06/2012 Home    W *  28.95   4   3   3A   9 (27-14) Maquoketa               2.40     -1.40                      
 35 07/09/2012 Away    W *  24.24   8   0   3A  63 ( 2-37) Anamosa                -2.30     10.30                      
 36 07/09/2012 Away    W *  23.24   8   1   3A  63 ( 2-37) Anamosa                -3.30     10.30                      
 37 07/10/2012 Away    L    22.53   3   7   3A  18 (27- 6) Grinnell               -4.02      0.02                      
 38 07/13/2012 Unknown W    25.56   8   2   3A  60 (13-26) Keokuk                 -0.98      6.98                      
 39 07/16/2012 Away    W    31.69   6   1   3A  15 (21-18) Mount Pleasant          5.14     -0.14                      
 40 07/18/2012 Away    L    21.09   1   5   3A  31 (22-15) Washington             -5.45      1.45                      
      Averages              26.54   6.7  5.3

Best game:   39.24 = 9 point win over Dyersville Beckman
Worst game:  15.11 = 12 point loss to Manchester West Delaware
Team stdev:   5.77