BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Winterset

Class: 3A Class Rank: 56 Conference: (3-15-0) Overall: (8-23-0) Overall Strength =   20.77

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 05/21/2012 Away    L    21.33   3   7   1A   8 (34- 9) Van Meter               0.56     -4.56                      
  2 05/22/2012 Away    L *  11.46   1  16   4A  35 (19-16) Boone                  -9.32     -5.68                      
  3 05/23/2012 Home    L    14.60   1  14   3A  11 (25-11) Chariton               -6.17     -6.83                      
  4 05/25/2012 Away    L    20.15   4   5   3A  54 ( 8-26) Knoxville              -0.62     -0.38                      
  5 05/29/2012 Away    W    28.36  15   0   1A  97 ( 9-18) Orient-Macksburg        7.59      7.41  4 innings           
  6 05/30/2012 Home    L *  17.99   0   6   3A  37 (15-19) Bondurant-Farrar       -2.79     -3.21                      
  7 06/01/2012 Away    L *  21.50   1  11   3A   1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes    0.72    -10.72                      
  8 06/02/2012 Home    L    23.28   2   4   3A  26 (19-11) Atlantic                2.51     -4.51                      
  9 06/04/2012 Home    L *  19.32   1  10   3A   8 (26-15) Adel ADM               -1.45     -7.55                      
 10 06/05/2012 Away    L    11.94   3  13   3A  48 (14-15) Creston                -8.83     -1.17                      
 11 06/06/2012 Away    L *  22.52   4   5   3A  40 (15-19) Huxley Ballard          1.75     -2.75                      
 12 06/08/2012 Home    L *  20.17   1   6   3A  32 (11-23) Carlisle               -0.60     -4.40                      
 13 06/11/2012 Away    L *  17.27   1  10   3A  21 (23-14) Saydel                 -3.50     -5.50                      
 14 06/13/2012 Home    W    23.99  13  12   1A  20 (21-11) Earlham                 3.22     -2.22                      
 15 06/14/2012 Home    L    15.37   1  14   1A   1 (40- 5) Martensdale M-SM       -5.40     -7.60                      
 16 06/18/2012 Home    W *  27.36   6   4   3A  29 (19-15) Perry                   6.59     -4.59                      
 17 06/19/2012 Away    W    18.62   5   4   2A  75 ( 5-30) Osceola Clarke         -2.15      3.15                      
 18 06/20/2012 Away    L    20.46   3   5   2A  30 (20- 8) Truro Interstate-35    -0.31     -1.69                      
 19 06/21/2012 Away    L    19.14   7  13   3A  28 (23-14) Norwalk                -1.63     -4.37                      
 20 06/22/2012 Home    L *  18.73   1  14   3A   1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes   -2.04    -10.96                      
 21 06/25/2012 Away    L *  24.09   0   4   3A   8 (26-15) Adel ADM                3.31     -7.31                      
 22 06/26/2012 Away    W *  33.75  16   6   3A  37 (15-19) Bondurant-Farrar       12.98     -2.98                      
 23 06/27/2012 Home    L *  16.76   3  10   3A  40 (15-19) Huxley Ballard         -4.01     -2.99                      
 24 07/03/2012 Home    W    20.37  10   4   1A  93 (10-16) Nodaway Valley         -0.40      6.40                      
 25 07/05/2012 Home    L *  21.51   3   8   3A  21 (23-14) Saydel                  0.73     -5.73                      
 26 07/06/2012 Home    W    24.15   9   4   2A  65 (16-15) Stuart West Central     3.38      1.62                      
 27 07/09/2012 Home    L *  24.69   2   4   4A  35 (19-16) Boone                   3.92     -5.92                      
 28 07/10/2012 Unknown L *  16.65   3  13   3A  17 (19-14) Carroll                -4.12     -5.88                      
 29 07/10/2012 Unknown L *  18.65   6  14   3A  17 (19-14) Carroll                -2.12     -5.88                      
 30 07/11/2012 Away    W *  27.13   4   2   3A  29 (19-15) Perry                   6.36     -4.36                      
 31 07/13/2012 Unknown L *  22.61   4  13   3A   1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes    1.84    -10.84                      
      Averages              20.77   4.3  8.2

Best game:   33.75 = 10 point win over Bondurant-Farrar
Worst game:  11.46 = 15 point loss to Boone
Team stdev:   4.75