BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Adair-Casey

Class: 1A Class Rank: 117 Conference: (5-10) Overall: (7-14) Overall Strength =   42.88

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2002 Home    L    48.28  44   54   1A   58 (20- 5) Van Meter               5.41    -15.41                      
  2 12/05/2002 Away    W    49.46  62   58   2A  120 ( 5-17) West Central Valley     6.58     -2.58                      
  3 12/07/2002 Away    L    52.03  40   54   1A   41 (19- 5) Guthrie Center          9.15    -23.15                      
  4 12/10/2002 Home    L *  39.95  40   45   1A  104 (11-10) Exira                  -2.93     -2.07                      
  5 12/13/2002 Away    L *  43.71  50   59   1A   90 (13- 9) Elk Horn-Kimballton     0.83     -9.83                      
  6 12/17/2002 Home    W *  41.40  42   35   1A  132 ( 3-18) DM Iowa Christian      -1.48      8.48                      
  7 12/20/2002 Away    L *  42.72  61   69   1A   97 ( 9-13) Anita CAM              -0.16     -7.84                      
  8 01/10/2003 Away    L    44.76  50   75   1A   28 (19- 4) DM Grandview Park       1.88    -26.88                      
  9 01/14/2003 Home    L *  33.96  54   65   1A  105 (10-12) Walnut                 -8.92     -2.08                      
 10 01/17/2003 Home    W *  46.74  66   58   1A  122 ( 9-13) Orient-Macksburg        3.87      4.13                      
 11 01/21/2003 Away    L *  42.85  52   65   1A   82 (15- 6) Earlham                -0.03    -12.97                      
 12 01/24/2003 Away    L *  34.19  55   69   1A  104 (11-10) Exira                  -8.69     -5.31                      
 13 01/28/2003 Home    L *  43.46  61   67   1A   90 (13- 9) Elk Horn-Kimballton     0.58     -6.58                      
 14 01/31/2003 Away    W *  38.64  46   45   1A  132 ( 3-18) DM Iowa Christian      -4.24      5.24                      
 15 02/04/2003 Home    L *  38.48  48   57   1A   97 ( 9-13) Anita CAM              -4.40     -4.60                      
 16 02/07/2003 Away    W *  64.20  67   51   1A  105 (10-12) Walnut                 21.32     -5.32                      
 17 02/11/2003 Away    W *  44.99  56   53   1A  122 ( 9-13) Orient-Macksburg        2.11      0.89                      
 18 02/17/2003 Unknown W    60.08  79   71   2A  112 ( 7-14) Panora Panorama        17.20     -9.20                      
 19 02/18/2003 Unknown L *  40.98  52   62   1A   82 (15- 6) Earlham                -1.89     -8.11                      
 20 02/21/2003 Home    L    28.18  48   72   1A   84 (11-12) East Greene           -14.69     -9.31                      
 21 02/24/2003 Neutral L *  21.37  46   65   1A  122 ( 9-13) Orient-Macksburg      -21.51      2.51                      
      Averages              42.88  53.3 59.5

Best game:   64.20 = 16 point win over Walnut
Worst game:  21.37 = 19 point loss to Orient-Macksburg
Team stdev:   9.53