BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
-----------------------------------------------
Essex
Class: 1A Class Rank: 75 Conference: (14-5) Overall: (17-7) Overall Strength = 56.23
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/03/2002 Away W 37.57 61 43 1A 148 ( 3-17) Diagonal -19.25 * 37.25
2 12/10/2002 Away L * 35.66 43 49 1A 124 ( 6-15) Villisca -21.16 15.16
3 12/13/2002 Home L * 44.06 60 73 1A 67 (14- 6) Malvern -12.76 -0.24
4 12/14/2002 Away W 56.83 56 44 EX 86 ( 0- 1) Omaha Christian NE 0.00 12.00
5 12/17/2002 Home W * 65.72 65 56 1A 63 (14- 4) Farragut 8.89 0.11
6 12/20/2002 Away W * 54.79 72 41 1A 142 ( 2-19) South Page -2.03 * 33.03
7 01/06/2003 Away W 73.39 71 23 EX 103 ( 1- 3) Clark County MO 16.57 * 31.43
8 01/07/2003 Home W * 54.77 48 47 1A 79 (10- 9) Stanton -2.06 3.06
9 01/10/2003 Home W * 47.73 67 65 1A 101 ( 8-15) Hamburg -9.09 11.09
10 01/14/2003 Away L * 47.06 44 49 1A 94 ( 9-10) Nishna Valley -9.77 4.77
11 01/17/2003 Home W * 68.33 62 54 1A 47 (18- 5) Sidney 11.50 -3.50
12 01/21/2003 Unknown W * 53.60 57 54 1A 101 ( 8-15) Hamburg -3.22 6.22
13 01/23/2003 Unknown W * 78.78 67 41 1A 96 ( 8-14) Tabor Fremont-Mills 21.96 4.04
14 01/25/2003 Unknown W * 71.93 56 46 1A 67 (14- 6) Malvern 15.10 -5.10
15 01/28/2003 Home W * 43.42 66 61 1A 124 ( 6-15) Villisca -13.41 18.41
16 01/31/2003 Away W * 54.16 54 51 1A 96 ( 8-14) Tabor Fremont-Mills -2.66 5.66
17 02/04/2003 Away L * 55.97 47 51 1A 63 (14- 4) Farragut -0.86 -3.14
18 02/07/2003 Home W * 73.55 86 33 1A 142 ( 2-19) South Page 16.72 * 36.28
19 02/11/2003 Away L * 53.01 54 58 1A 79 (10- 9) Stanton -3.81 -0.19
20 02/13/2003 Away L 42.20 61 67 1A 105 (10-12) Walnut -14.62 8.62
21 02/24/2003 Neutral W * 59.39 68 64 1A 79 (10- 9) Stanton 2.56 1.44
22 02/26/2003 Away W * 69.97 58 48 1A 63 (14- 4) Farragut 13.14 -3.14
23 03/03/2003 Neutral W * 60.36 64 51 1A 101 ( 8-15) Hamburg 3.53 9.47
24 03/06/2003 Neutral L 61.57 39 57 1A 6 (23- 3) Treynor 4.74 -22.74
Averages 56.83 59.4 51.1
Best game: 78.78 = 26 point win over Tabor Fremont-Mills
Worst game: 35.66 = 6 point loss to Villisca
Team stdev: 11.95