BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Fredericksburg
Class: 1A Class Rank: 15 Conference: (14-1) Overall: (22-4) Overall Strength = 71.76
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2002 Home W 71.38 64 59 2A 52 (12- 8) Turkey Valley 2.84 2.16
2 12/03/2002 Away L 70.61 59 64 1A 17 (19- 4) Sumner 2.07 -7.07
3 12/07/2002 Away W 71.65 43 39 1A 35 (19- 7) Greene 3.11 0.89
4 12/10/2002 Home W * 67.60 81 51 1A 123 ( 4-16) Janesville -0.94 * 30.94
5 12/13/2002 Home W * 43.68 82 52 1A 150 ( 1-21) Clarksville -24.86 * 54.86
6 12/17/2002 Away W * 76.00 65 47 1A 74 (12- 8) Allison-Bristow 7.46 10.54
7 12/20/2002 Away L 71.61 56 60 1A 17 (19- 4) Sumner 3.07 -7.07
8 01/03/2003 Home W 82.84 64 54 2A 24 (18- 4) South Winneshiek 14.30 -4.30
9 01/04/2003 Away W * 62.09 75 40 1A 147 ( 2-20) Garwin GMG -6.45 * 41.45
10 01/07/2003 Home W * 65.23 50 48 1A 38 (18- 6) Dunkerton -3.31 5.31
11 01/10/2003 Home W * 63.41 67 62 1A 64 (11-13) WL Walnut Ridge -5.13 10.13
12 01/14/2003 Home W * 69.35 56 51 1A 37 (14- 8) Tripoli 0.81 4.19
13 01/17/2003 Away W * 68.85 59 31 1A 123 ( 4-16) Janesville 0.30 27.70
14 01/21/2003 Away W * 54.92 72 34 1A 150 ( 1-21) Clarksville -13.62 * 51.62
15 01/24/2003 Home W * 76.76 75 53 1A 74 (12- 8) Allison-Bristow 8.21 13.79
16 01/31/2003 Away L * 52.48 51 65 1A 38 (18- 6) Dunkerton -16.07 2.07
17 02/01/2003 Home W * 70.85 92 45 1A 147 ( 2-20) Garwin GMG 2.30 * 44.70
18 02/07/2003 Away W * 72.60 57 52 1A 37 (14- 8) Tripoli 4.06 0.94
19 02/11/2003 Away W * 75.66 65 51 1A 64 (11-13) WL Walnut Ridge 7.11 6.89
20 02/22/2003 Home W 75.68 90 51 1A 118 ( 1-20) Maynard West Central 7.14 * 31.86
21 02/24/2003 Neutral W 57.30 70 51 1A 118 ( 1-20) Maynard West Central -11.24 * 30.24
22 02/26/2003 Neutral W * 58.22 59 40 1A 123 ( 4-16) Janesville -10.32 * 29.32
23 03/03/2003 Away W 77.61 52 50 1A 17 (19- 4) Sumner 9.07 -7.07
24 03/06/2003 Neutral W 68.41 38 37 1A 26 (18- 6) Elgin Valley -0.13 1.13
25 03/08/2003 Neutral W 77.03 52 41 1A 35 (19- 7) Greene 8.49 2.51
26 03/17/2003 Neutral L 80.28 42 48 1A 2 (25- 3) Bellevue Marquette 11.74 -17.74
Averages 68.54 62.9 49.1
Best game: 82.84 = 10 point win over Calmar South Winneshiek
Worst game: 43.68 = 30 point win over Clarksville
Team stdev: 9.27