BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 10 Conference: (14-9) Overall: (14-9) Overall Strength =   88.06

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2002 Away    W *  94.69  69   41   4A   46 ( 3-20) Des Moines North        6.62     21.38                      
  2 12/06/2002 Home    W *  91.12  66   51   4A   31 (10-13) Urbandale               3.05     11.95                      
  3 12/10/2002 Away    W *  87.52  74   53   4A   47 ( 4-18) Des Moines East        -0.55     21.55                      
  4 12/13/2002 Home    W *  93.03  61   47   4A   26 (12-11) Ankeny                  4.97      9.03                      
  5 12/17/2002 Home    W *  76.56  45   43   4A   36 ( 9-13) Fort Dodge            -11.50     13.50                      
  6 12/20/2002 Away    W * 105.54  78   45   4A   43 ( 5-18) Southeast Polk         17.48     15.52                      
  7 01/03/2003 Home    L *  83.22  64   73   4A    5 (17- 5) WDM Dowling            -4.85     -4.15                      
  8 01/07/2003 Away    W *  86.65  54   50   4A   25 (11-11) Mason City             -1.41      5.41                      
  9 01/10/2003 Away    L *  82.16  43   52   4A    8 (22- 2) Indianola              -5.91     -3.09                      
 10 01/17/2003 Away    L *  77.36  41   43   4A   31 (10-13) Urbandale             -10.70      8.70                      
 11 01/18/2003 Home    L *  91.88  52   57   4A    2 (23- 2) Des Moines Hoover       3.82     -8.82                      
 12 01/24/2003 Away    W *  92.28  69   59   4A   26 (12-11) Ankeny                  4.22      5.78                      
 13 01/31/2003 Home    W *  83.30  72   58   4A   43 ( 5-18) Southeast Polk         -4.77     18.77                      
 14 02/01/2003 Away    W *  87.07  63   59   4A   23 (13-14) Marshalltown           -1.00      5.00                      
 15 02/04/2003 Home    W *  81.64  66   56   4A   41 ( 6-16) Des Moines Lincoln     -6.42     16.42                      
 16 02/07/2003 Away    L *  93.46  43   45   4A    5 (17- 5) WDM Dowling             5.40     -7.40                      
 17 02/11/2003 Away    W *  83.93  55   54   4A   24 (14- 9) Des Moines Roosevelt   -4.14      5.14                      
 18 02/17/2003 Unknown L *  78.29  49   57   4A    8 (22- 2) Indianola              -9.78      1.78                      
 19 02/21/2003 Home    L *  76.25  58   64   4A   15 (16- 6) WDM Valley            -11.82      5.82                      
 20 02/25/2003 Home    L *  79.37  46   52   4A   11 (11-10) Ames                   -8.70      2.70                      
 21 02/28/2003 Unknown W * 136.32  66    0   4A   40 (10-11) Ottumwa                48.26     17.74                      
 22 03/07/2003 Home    W *  86.41  53   46   4A   25 (11-11) Mason City             -1.66      8.66                      
 23 03/11/2003 Neutral L *  77.44  52   56   4A   23 (13-14) Marshalltown          -10.62      6.62                      
      Averages              88.06  58.2 50.5

Best game:  136.32 = 66 point win over Ottumwa
Worst game:  76.25 = 6 point loss to West Des Moines Valley
Team stdev:  12.77