BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Marshalltown

Class: 4A Class Rank: 23 Conference: (11-12) Overall: (13-14) Overall Strength =   81.44

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2002 Away    L *  72.16  42   61   4A    8 (22- 2) Indianola              -9.29     -9.71                      
  2 12/06/2002 Home    W *  84.41  58   53   4A   25 (11-11) Mason City              2.96      2.04                      
  3 12/10/2002 Away    W *  78.89  55   51   4A   41 ( 6-16) Des Moines Lincoln     -2.55      6.55                      
  4 12/13/2002 Home    L *  66.56  63   71   4A   36 ( 9-13) Fort Dodge            -14.88      6.88                      
  5 12/17/2002 Home    W    81.09  54   46   3A   25 (11-10) Waukee                 -0.35      8.35                      
  6 12/20/2002 Home    L *  78.25  58   62   4A   15 (16- 6) WDM Valley             -3.20     -0.80                      
  7 01/03/2003 Away    W *  80.73  41   37   4A   38 ( 7-16) Newton                 -0.71      4.71                      
  8 01/07/2003 Home    L *  56.03  48   71   4A   26 (12-11) Ankeny                -25.41      2.41                      
  9 01/10/2003 Home    W *  94.37  55   46   4A   11 (11-10) Ames                   12.92     -3.92                      
 10 01/14/2003 Away    L *  94.46  72   73   4A    5 (17- 5) WDM Dowling            13.02    -14.02                      
 11 01/17/2003 Away    L *  75.65  66   73   4A   25 (11-11) Mason City             -5.79     -1.21                      
 12 01/21/2003 Away    L *  80.93  48   50   4A   24 (14- 9) Des Moines Roosevelt   -0.51     -1.49                      
 13 01/24/2003 Away    W *  83.81  40   34   4A   36 ( 9-13) Fort Dodge              2.37      3.63                      
 14 01/31/2003 Away    L *  74.49  65   76   4A   15 (16- 6) WDM Valley             -6.95     -4.05                      
 15 02/01/2003 Home    L *  82.44  59   63   4A   10 (14- 9) Johnston                1.00     -5.00                      
 16 02/07/2003 Home    W *  80.48  59   52   4A   38 ( 7-16) Newton                 -0.96      7.96                      
 17 02/11/2003 Away    W *  73.69  53   46   4A   46 ( 3-20) Des Moines North       -7.76     14.76                      
 18 02/17/2003 Unknown W *  91.23  60   59   4A   11 (11-10) Ames                    9.79     -8.79                      
 19 02/18/2003 Away    L    67.43  39   60   4A   12 (17- 6) Cedar Falls           -14.01     -6.99                      
 20 02/21/2003 Home    L *  62.95  57   66   4A   40 (10-11) Ottumwa               -18.49      9.49                      
 21 02/28/2003 Home    L *  94.88  54   56   4A    2 (23- 2) Des Moines Hoover      13.44    -15.44                      
 22 03/05/2003 Home    W    94.07  70   38   4A   48 ( 4-18) Boone                  12.63     19.37                      
 23 03/07/2003 Away    W *  91.61  59   56   4A   11 (11-10) Ames                   10.17     -7.17                      
 24 03/11/2003 Neutral W *  92.06  56   52   4A   10 (14- 9) Johnston               10.62     -6.62                      
 25 03/19/2003 Neutral W *  96.53  48   41   4A    8 (22- 2) Indianola              15.09     -8.09                      
 26 03/21/2003 Neutral L    92.23  66   68   4A    4 (21- 5) Eldridge North Scott   10.78    -12.78                      
 27 03/22/2003 Neutral L *  77.50  47   68   4A    2 (23- 2) Des Moines Hoover      -3.94    -17.06                      
      Averages              81.44  55.3 56.6

Best game:   96.53 = 7 point win over Indianola
Worst game:  56.03 = 23 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev:  10.77