BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ottumwa

Class: 4A Class Rank: 40 Conference: (7-10) Overall: (10-11) Overall Strength =   73.57

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2002 Away    L *  72.49  51   64   4A   15 (16- 6) WDM Valley             -1.08    -11.92                      
  2 12/06/2002 Away    L *  76.93  57   63   4A   24 (14- 9) Des Moines Roosevelt    3.36     -9.36                      
  3 12/10/2002 Home    L *  68.03  44   55   4A   26 (12-11) Ankeny                 -5.54     -5.46                      
  4 12/13/2002 Away    W *  87.69  66   45   4A   46 ( 3-20) Des Moines North       14.12      6.88                      
  5 12/17/2002 Away    W *  83.73  67   60   4A   38 ( 7-16) Newton                 10.16     -3.16                      
  6 12/20/2002 Home    W *  73.64  52   50   4A   41 ( 6-16) Des Moines Lincoln      0.07      1.93                      
  7 01/03/2003 Home    L *  59.27  63   67   4A   47 ( 4-18) Des Moines East       -14.30     10.30                      
  8 01/07/2003 Home    L *  78.22  47   61   4A    5 (17- 5) WDM Dowling             4.65    -18.65                      
  9 01/10/2003 Away    L *  78.13  30   52   4A    2 (23- 2) Des Moines Hoover       4.56    -26.56                      
 10 01/14/2003 Away    W    75.49  43   42   4A   42 (11-11) Oskaloosa               1.92     -0.92                      
 11 01/17/2003 Home    L *  64.68  38   53   4A   24 (14- 9) Des Moines Roosevelt   -8.89     -6.11                      
 12 01/24/2003 Home    W *  68.44  52   47   4A   46 ( 3-20) Des Moines North       -5.13     10.13                      
 13 01/31/2003 Away    W *  81.89  62   55   4A   41 ( 6-16) Des Moines Lincoln      8.32     -1.32                      
 14 02/04/2003 Away    W    79.47  56   45   3A   45 ( 8-12) Mount Pleasant          5.90      5.10                      
 15 02/07/2003 Away    W *  88.52  83   61   4A   47 ( 4-18) Des Moines East        14.95      7.05                      
 16 02/08/2003 Away    L *  76.16  33   48   4A    8 (22- 2) Indianola               2.58    -17.58                      
 17 02/11/2003 Home    L *  64.12  59   71   4A   31 (10-13) Urbandale              -9.45     -2.55                      
 18 02/18/2003 Home    W    76.64  75   53   3A   58 ( 8-14) Fairfield               3.07     18.93                      
 19 02/21/2003 Away    W *  92.07  66   57   4A   23 (13-14) Marshalltown           18.49     -9.49                      
 20 02/28/2003 Unknown L *  25.31   0   66   4A   10 (14- 9) Johnston              -48.26    -17.74                      
 21 03/07/2003 Home    L    74.06  52   60   4A   17 (14-10) Cedar Rapids Prairie    0.49     -8.49                      
      Averages              73.57  52.2 56.0

Best game:   92.07 = 9 point win over Marshalltown
Worst game:  25.31 = 66 point loss to Johnston
Team stdev:  13.79