BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Adair-Casey

Class: 1A Class Rank: 112 Conference: (7-8) Overall: (8-14) Overall Strength =   33.77

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Away    L    29.76  59   66   1A  113 ( 6-16) Van Meter              -3.23     -3.77                      
  2 12/04/2003 Home    L    26.07  41   63   2A   82 (14- 8) Stuart West Central    -6.92    -15.08                      
  3 12/06/2003 Home    L    39.47  43   46   1A   74 (14- 8) Guthrie Center          6.48     -9.48                      
  4 12/12/2003 Away    W *  41.38  61   45   1A  137 ( 4-18) Exira                   8.39      7.61                      
  5 12/16/2003 Home    W *  55.71  59   38   1A  102 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton    22.72     -1.72                      
  6 12/19/2003 Away    W *  28.67  51   43   1A  145 ( 3-19) WDM Iowa Christian     -4.33     12.33                      
  7 01/09/2004 Home    L    16.60  43   93   1A    9 (20- 4) DM Grandview Park     -16.39 *  -33.61                      
  8 01/12/2004 Home    L *  13.69  52   76   1A   88 (13-10) Earlham               -19.30     -4.70  postponed from 12/18/03
  9 01/13/2004 Home    L *  35.94  47   56   1A   61 (14- 8) Anita CAM               2.94    -11.94                      
 10 01/16/2004 Away    L *  24.43  52   62   1A  118 ( 7-13) Walnut                 -8.56     -1.44                      
 11 01/20/2004 Away    L *  34.19  56   69   1A   70 (21- 4) Orient-Macksburg        1.20    -14.20                      
 12 01/23/2004 Away    L *  24.61  50   67   1A   88 (13-10) Earlham                -8.38     -8.62                      
 13 01/30/2004 Away    L *  16.63  53   75   1A  102 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton   -16.36     -5.64                      
 14 02/03/2004 Home    W *  29.75  55   42   1A  145 ( 3-19) WDM Iowa Christian     -3.25     16.25                      
 15 02/07/2004 Away    L *  16.86  43   75   1A   61 (14- 8) Anita CAM             -16.14    -15.86  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 16 02/09/2004 Home    W *  66.46  68   23   1A  137 ( 4-18) Exira                  33.46     11.54  rescheduled from 01/27/04 and 02/02/04
 17 02/10/2004 Home    L *  25.51  61   66   1A  118 ( 7-13) Walnut                 -7.48      2.48                      
 18 02/13/2004 Home    W *  55.27  61   49   1A   70 (21- 4) Orient-Macksburg       22.28    -10.28                      
 19 02/17/2004 Away    L    30.50  47   68   2A   95 (12-10) Panora Panorama        -2.49    -18.51                      
 20 02/20/2004 Away    W    22.04  46   43   1A  147 ( 0-21) East Greene           -10.95     13.95                      
 21 02/23/2004 Home    W *  50.46  65   36   1A  137 ( 4-18) Exira                  17.46     11.54                      
 22 02/26/2004 Home    L    41.84  55   63   1A   48 (18- 6) Coon Rapids-Bayard      8.84    -16.84                      
      Averages              32.99  53.1 57.5

Best game:   66.46 = 45 point win over Exira
Worst game:  13.69 = 24 point loss to Earlham
Team stdev:  14.18