BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Aurelia
Class: 1A Class Rank: 100 Conference: (6-11) Overall: (6-15) Overall Strength = 37.02
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2003 Away L * 29.59 50 77 1A 39 (16- 9) Pomeroy-Palmer -8.42 -18.58
2 12/11/2003 Away W * 58.02 63 36 1A 120 ( 6-15) Albert City AC-T 20.01 6.99
3 12/12/2003 Home L * 30.67 48 62 1A 69 (12- 9) Sioux Central -7.34 -6.66
4 12/18/2003 Away L 32.71 48 67 1A 49 (10-12) Granville Spalding -5.30 -13.70
5 12/19/2003 Home W * 62.78 93 41 1A 144 ( 0-22) Storm Lake St Mary 24.77 * 27.23
6 01/06/2004 Home L 50.58 50 56 1A 29 (17- 6) Galva-Holstein 12.58 -18.58
7 01/09/2004 Away L * 9.30 41 86 1A 44 (13- 9) Sac City -28.71 -16.29
8 01/13/2004 Home L * 24.24 56 69 1A 92 ( 5-17) Schaller-Crestland -13.76 0.76
9 01/15/2004 Home L * 41.50 54 83 1A 6 (26- 2) Newell-Fonda 3.50 * -32.50 rescheduled from 12/09/03
10 01/16/2004 Home W * 70.67 62 44 1A 39 (16- 9) Pomeroy-Palmer 32.66 -14.66
11 01/20/2004 Home L * 21.10 41 47 1A 120 ( 6-15) Albert City AC-T -16.91 10.91
12 01/23/2004 Away L * 34.42 45 85 1A 6 (26- 2) Newell-Fonda -3.58 * -36.42
13 01/27/2004 Away W * 50.59 59 57 1A 69 (12- 9) Sioux Central 12.58 -10.58
14 01/29/2004 Away L 53.42 58 62 1A 35 (17- 6) Wall Lake WLVA 15.41 -19.41
15 01/30/2004 Home L * 30.62 60 97 2A 16 (16- 6) Alta -7.39 * -29.61
16 02/03/2004 Away W * 26.70 74 62 1A 144 ( 0-22) Storm Lake St Mary -11.31 23.31
17 02/10/2004 Home L * 34.38 77 93 1A 44 (13- 9) Sac City -3.63 -12.37
18 02/13/2004 Away W * 43.16 51 49 1A 92 ( 5-17) Schaller-Crestland 5.16 -3.16
19 02/17/2004 Home L 37.19 69 91 1A 19 (22- 2) Bode TRV -0.82 -21.18
20 02/19/2004 Away L * 36.54 60 95 2A 16 (16- 6) Alta -1.47 * -33.53 rescheduled from 12/16/03
21 02/26/2004 Away L * 20.02 39 50 1A 120 ( 6-15) Albert City AC-T -17.99 6.99
Averages 38.01 57.0 67.1
Best game: 70.67 = 18 point win over Pomeroy-Palmer
Worst game: 9.30 = 45 point loss to Sac City
Team stdev: 15.27