BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Dunkerton

Class: 1A Class Rank: 1 Conference: (16-1) Overall: (27-1) Overall Strength =   76.49

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2003 Home    W    85.50  70   50   2A   25 (17- 9) Aplington AP           10.46      9.54                      
  2 12/02/2003 Home    W    55.02  54   45   2A   94 (10-12) Belmond-Klemme        -20.03 *   29.03                      
  3 12/05/2003 Away    W *  65.13  62   45   1A   67 ( 7-15) Traer North Tama       -9.91 *   26.91                      
  4 12/12/2003 Home    W *  60.01  56   42   1A   58 (10-13) Walnut Ridge          -15.04 *   29.04                      
  5 12/13/2003 Home    W *  74.47  69   54   1A   20 (15- 8) Tripoli                -0.58     15.58                      
  6 12/16/2003 Away    W *  73.46  58   50   1A   13 (17- 8) Allison-Bristow        -1.59      9.59                      
  7 12/18/2003 Away    W    66.77  70   41   1A  107 ( 2-20) Maynard West Central   -8.28 *   37.28                      
  8 12/19/2003 Away    W *  85.49  78   24   1A  129 ( 2-20) Clarksville            10.44 *   43.56                      
  9 01/06/2004 Home    L *  58.14  56   61   1A   12 (21- 4) Fredericksburg        -16.91     11.91                      
 10 01/09/2004 Away    W *  80.97  84   50   1A   79 ( 6-16) Janesville              5.92 *   28.08                      
 11 01/10/2004 Home    W    70.96  72   61   3A   35 ( 8-13) Decorah                -4.09     15.09  late add            
 12 01/13/2004 Home    W *  72.09  83   44   1A  111 ( 2-20) Garwin GMG             -2.96 *   41.96                      
 13 01/16/2004 Home    W *  87.21  78   35   1A   67 ( 7-15) Traer North Tama       12.17 *   30.83                      
 14 01/17/2004 Away    W   106.00  91   34   2A   88 ( 8-15) East Buchanan          30.95 *   26.05                      
 15 01/20/2004 Away    W *  71.39  63   55   1A   20 (15- 8) Tripoli                -3.66     11.66                      
 16 01/23/2004 Away    W *  70.93  72   51   1A   58 (10-13) Walnut Ridge           -4.12     25.12                      
 17 01/27/2004 Home    W *  74.54  66   53   1A   13 (17- 8) Allison-Bristow        -0.51     13.51                      
 18 01/30/2004 Home    W *  61.57  73   39   1A  129 ( 2-20) Clarksville           -13.48 *   47.48                      
 19 02/07/2004 Away    W *  74.06  49   42   1A   12 (21- 4) Fredericksburg         -0.99      7.99  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 20 02/10/2004 Home    W *  59.05  63   47   1A   79 ( 6-16) Janesville            -16.00 *   32.00                      
 21 02/13/2004 Away    W *  81.01  73   29   1A  111 ( 2-20) Garwin GMG              5.96 *   38.04                      
 22 02/26/2004 Home    W    64.18  63   37   1A   91 ( 2-20) Don Bosco             -10.87 *   36.87                      
 23 03/01/2004 Home    W *  86.01  75   35   1A   58 (10-13) Walnut Ridge           10.96 *   29.04                      
 24 03/03/2004 Neutral W    79.23  57   45   1A   10 (15- 8) Cedar Falls NU          4.18      7.82                      
 25 03/06/2004 Neutral W    73.17  54   44   1A   14 (16- 9) Colo NESCO             -1.88     11.88                      
 26 03/15/2004 Neutral W    67.60  63   57   1A   22 (23- 3) Iowa Mennonite         -7.45     13.45                      
 27 03/18/2004 Neutral W    96.46  65   41   1A    6 (26- 2) Newell-Fonda           21.41      2.59                      
 28 03/19/2004 Neutral W   100.93  68   41   1A    3 (26- 1) Manning                25.88      1.12                      
      Averages              75.05  67.3 44.7

Best game:  106.00 = 57 point win over Winthrop East Buchanan
Worst game:  55.02 = 9 point win over Belmond-Klemme
Team stdev:  12.79