BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Earlham

Class: 1A Class Rank: 88 Conference: (7-7) Overall: (13-10) Overall Strength =   39.39

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Home    W    47.06  74   70   1A   81 (11-11) Martensdale M-SM        7.41     -3.41                      
  2 12/05/2003 Away    L    45.52  54   79   1A    9 (20- 4) DM Grandview Park       5.87 *  -30.87                      
  3 12/12/2003 Away    L *  32.19  49   64   1A   70 (21- 4) Orient-Macksburg       -7.46     -7.54                      
  4 12/16/2003 Home    W *  27.75  59   48   1A  145 ( 3-19) WDM Iowa Christian    -11.91     22.91                      
  5 12/19/2003 Away    L *  31.63  56   63   1A  102 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -8.02      1.02                      
  6 12/22/2003 Home    W    47.84  69   54   1A  113 ( 6-16) Van Meter               8.19      6.81                      
  7 01/06/2004 Away    W    31.19  59   57   1A  123 ( 4-17) Afton East Union       -8.46     10.46                      
  8 01/12/2004 Away    W *  58.95  76   52   1A  112 ( 8-14) Adair-Casey            19.30      4.70  postponed from 12/18/03
  9 01/13/2004 Home    W *  36.51  51   45   1A  118 ( 7-13) Walnut                 -3.14      9.14                      
 10 01/16/2004 Away    L *  34.86  45   59   1A   61 (14- 8) Anita CAM              -4.80     -9.20                      
 11 01/17/2004 Away    L    48.30  62   72   1A   30 (15- 8) Des Moines Christian    8.64    -18.64                      
 12 01/20/2004 Home    W *  46.46  59   34   1A  137 ( 4-18) Exira                   6.81     18.19                      
 13 01/23/2004 Home    W *  48.03  67   50   1A  112 ( 8-14) Adair-Casey             8.38      8.62                      
 14 01/27/2004 Home    L *  40.27  50   53   1A   70 (21- 4) Orient-Macksburg        0.62     -3.62                      
 15 01/30/2004 Away    W *  29.67  40   31   1A  145 ( 3-19) WDM Iowa Christian     -9.99     18.99                      
 16 02/10/2004 Home    L *  37.94  53   60   1A   61 (14- 8) Anita CAM              -1.72     -5.28                      
 17 02/12/2004 Home    L *  14.71  45   65   1A  102 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton   -24.94      4.94  rescheduled from 02/03/04
 18 02/13/2004 Away    W *  41.38  49   33   1A  137 ( 4-18) Exira                   1.73     14.27                      
 19 02/17/2004 Away    W    52.44  64   56   2A  113 ( 6-14) Truro Interstate-35    12.79     -4.79                      
 20 02/20/2004 Away    L    41.99  54   64   2A   82 (14- 8) Stuart West Central     2.34    -12.34                      
 21 02/26/2004 Away    W    41.28  53   42   1A  130 ( 4-19) Lenox                   1.63      9.37                      
 22 03/01/2004 Neutral W    35.79  65   54   1A  134 (11-11) Diagonal               -3.86     14.86                      
 23 03/03/2004 Neutral L *  40.23  43   48   1A   70 (21- 4) Orient-Macksburg        0.58     -5.58                      
      Averages              39.65  56.3 54.5

Best game:   58.95 = 24 point win over Adair-Casey
Worst game:  14.71 = 20 point loss to Elk Horn-Kimballton
Team stdev:   9.54