BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Fairfield
Class: 3A Class Rank: 26 Conference: (8-1) Overall: (17-10) Overall Strength = 63.56
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/05/2003 Away L 71.54 55 63 3A 5 (15-10) Cedar Rapids Xavier 7.80 -15.80
2 12/06/2003 Home L 57.66 86 87 3A 38 (12-10) Centerville -6.08 5.08
3 12/12/2003 Home W * 62.59 70 66 3A 42 (13-11) Mount Pleasant -1.15 5.15
4 12/13/2003 Away L 60.89 73 78 3A 30 (16- 6) Bloomfield Davis -2.86 -2.14
5 12/19/2003 Away L * 45.21 51 68 3A 40 (13- 9) Washington -18.53 1.53
6 12/20/2003 Home L 64.85 53 56 4A 34 (14- 8) Oskaloosa 1.11 -4.11 rescheduled from 12/9/03
7 01/03/2004 Home W 75.99 82 38 2A 120 ( 8-14) Packwood Pekin 12.25 * 31.75
8 01/06/2004 Away W 72.54 70 52 2A 78 ( 8-14) Albia 8.80 9.20 postponed from 01/06/04
9 01/10/2004 Home W 56.06 62 41 2A 119 ( 9-13) West Burlington -7.68 * 28.68
10 01/13/2004 Away L 48.76 46 65 2A 27 (18- 6) Eddyville-Blakesburg -14.99 -4.01
11 01/16/2004 Home W * 50.52 75 67 3A 62 ( 4-19) Keokuk -13.22 21.22
12 01/20/2004 Home W 49.17 47 45 3A 59 ( 3-19) Chariton -14.57 16.57
13 01/23/2004 Away W * 72.15 65 52 3A 46 ( 8-14) Fort Madison 8.41 4.59
14 01/30/2004 Away W * 66.51 59 55 3A 42 (13-11) Mount Pleasant 2.77 1.23
15 02/03/2004 Home W 77.64 63 45 1A 22 (23- 3) Iowa Mennonite 13.90 4.10
16 02/06/2004 Home W * 61.29 55 52 3A 40 (13- 9) Washington -2.45 5.45
17 02/10/2004 Away L 56.04 37 57 EX 17 ( 4- 0) Kirksville MO -7.70 -12.30
18 02/14/2004 Away W 63.59 62 61 3A 38 (12-10) Centerville -0.16 1.16
19 02/17/2004 Home L 64.75 43 56 4A 12 (19- 7) Ottumwa 1.00 -14.00
20 02/20/2004 Away W * 81.44 75 40 3A 62 ( 4-19) Keokuk 17.70 17.30
21 02/27/2004 Home W * 62.23 67 60 3A 46 ( 8-14) Fort Madison -1.51 8.51
22 03/01/2004 Home W 71.66 84 71 3A 38 (12-10) Centerville 7.92 5.08
23 03/04/2004 Neutral W 79.93 75 59 3A 30 (16- 6) Bloomfield Davis 16.18 -0.18
24 03/08/2004 Neutral W * 71.55 49 38 3A 42 (13-11) Mount Pleasant 7.81 3.19
25 03/17/2004 Neutral W 73.27 58 56 3A 10 (19- 6) Webster City 9.53 -7.53
26 03/18/2004 Neutral L 45.53 51 76 3A 12 (24- 3) Cresco Crestwood -18.21 -6.79
27 03/20/2004 Neutral L 57.66 66 78 3A 15 (19- 8) Norwalk -6.08 -5.92
Averages 63.74 62.2 58.6
Best game: 81.44 = 35 point win over Keokuk
Worst game: 45.21 = 17 point loss to Washington
Team stdev: 10.47