BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Fredericksburg
Class: 1A Class Rank: 12 Conference: (13-3) Overall: (21-4) Overall Strength = 66.79
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/01/2003 Away W 71.18 63 60 2A 28 (19- 5) Nashua-Plainfield 6.08 -3.08 score
2 12/02/2003 Neutral W 72.76 42 34 2A 31 (17- 6) Turkey Valley 7.67 0.33
3 12/05/2003 Home W * 53.09 67 47 1A 111 ( 2-20) Garwin GMG -12.01 * 32.01
4 12/12/2003 Away W * 71.39 53 45 1A 20 (15- 8) Tripoli 6.29 1.71
5 12/15/2003 Home W * 55.21 62 51 1A 67 ( 7-15) Traer North Tama -9.88 20.88
6 12/16/2003 Away W * 75.93 65 39 1A 58 (10-13) Walnut Ridge 10.84 15.16
7 12/19/2003 Home W * 62.54 59 58 1A 13 (17- 8) Allison-Bristow -2.56 3.56
8 12/20/2003 Away W * 42.49 85 74 1A 129 ( 2-20) Clarksville -22.60 * 33.60
9 01/06/2004 Away W * 82.01 61 56 1A 1 (27- 1) Dunkerton 16.91 -11.91
10 01/09/2004 Home W 57.67 51 50 2A 59 (11-11) Sumner -7.43 8.43
11 01/13/2004 Home W * 59.05 73 57 1A 79 ( 6-16) Janesville -6.04 22.04
12 01/16/2004 Away W * 55.01 69 51 1A 111 ( 2-20) Garwin GMG -10.09 * 28.09
13 01/20/2004 Away W * 74.13 67 41 1A 67 ( 7-15) Traer North Tama 9.04 16.96
14 01/23/2004 Home L * 56.47 54 57 1A 20 (15- 8) Tripoli -8.63 5.63
15 01/27/2004 Home W * 54.01 62 54 1A 58 (10-13) Walnut Ridge -11.08 19.08
16 01/30/2004 Away L * 49.46 59 75 1A 13 (17- 8) Allison-Bristow -15.64 -0.36
17 02/03/2004 Home W * 68.57 67 26 1A 129 ( 2-20) Clarksville 3.48 * 37.52
18 02/07/2004 Home L * 66.09 42 49 1A 1 (27- 1) Dunkerton 0.99 -7.99 rescheduled from 02/06/04
19 02/13/2004 Away W * 78.97 75 43 1A 79 ( 6-16) Janesville 13.88 18.12
20 02/17/2004 Away W 80.77 82 39 1A 107 ( 2-20) Maynard West Central 15.67 * 27.33
21 02/20/2004 Home W 66.70 53 44 1A 25 (13- 9) Greene 1.61 7.39
22 02/26/2004 Neutral W 58.40 78 30 1A 153 ( 0-22) Central City -6.70 * 54.70
23 03/01/2004 Neutral W 67.27 57 46 1A 34 (16- 8) Alburnett 2.17 8.83
24 03/03/2004 Neutral W 77.52 62 54 1A 7 (20- 4) Elgin Valley 12.42 -4.42
25 03/06/2004 Neutral L 70.72 49 51 1A 5 (27- 2) Bellevue Marquette 5.62 -7.62
Averages 65.10 62.3 49.2
Best game: 82.01 = 5 point win over Dunkerton
Worst game: 42.49 = 11 point win over Clarksville
Team stdev: 10.62