BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Grinnell

Class: 3A Class Rank: 7 Conference: (11-5) Overall: (17-6) Overall Strength =   74.20

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Away    W    63.17  64   59   3A   49 ( 6-16) Tama South Tama       -11.76     16.76                      
  2 12/05/2003 Away    W *  85.79  54   23   3A   55 ( 3-19) Knoxville              10.86     20.14                      
  3 12/06/2003 Home    W    77.05  53   36   3A   34 (10-12) Vinton-Shellsburg       2.12     14.88                      
  4 12/12/2003 Home    W *  76.85  66   57   4A   34 (14- 8) Oskaloosa               1.92      7.08                      
  5 12/16/2003 Away    W    78.43  68   57   3A   21 (18- 7) Van Horne Benton        3.50      7.50                      
  6 12/19/2003 Away    L *  60.17  58   68   3A   18 (15- 9) Pella                 -14.76      4.76                      
  7 01/06/2004 Away    W *  69.24  54   51   3A   23 (12-11) Waukee                 -5.69      8.69                      
  8 01/09/2004 Home    W *  70.70  57   54   3A   15 (19- 8) Norwalk                -4.23      7.23                      
  9 01/16/2004 Away    W *  77.06  68   39   4A   48 ( 3-19) Boone                   2.13 *   26.87                      
 10 01/17/2004 Home    L    72.88  63   67   2A    2 (27- 0) Monroe PCM             -2.05     -1.95                      
 11 01/20/2004 Home    L *  61.98  65   71   2A   17 (20- 8) Pella Christian       -12.95      6.95                      
 12 01/23/2004 Home    W *  85.25  51   32   3A   18 (15- 9) Pella                  10.32      8.68                      
 13 01/27/2004 Away    W * 101.77  74   44   4A   34 (14- 8) Oskaloosa              26.84      3.16                      
 14 01/30/2004 Home    W *  80.87  84   54   3A   55 ( 3-19) Knoxville               5.94     24.06                      
 15 01/31/2004 Home    W    85.78  73   48   2A   49 (19- 4) Montezuma              10.85     14.15                      
 16 02/03/2004 Home    W *  71.32  58   49   3A   23 (12-11) Waukee                 -3.61     12.61                      
 17 02/06/2004 Away    L *  69.62  52   54   3A   15 (19- 8) Norwalk                -5.31      3.31                      
 18 02/10/2004 Away    L *  70.90  59   60   2A   17 (20- 8) Pella Christian        -4.03      3.03                      
 19 02/13/2004 Home    W *  88.14  79   35   4A   48 ( 3-19) Boone                  13.21 *   30.79                      
 20 02/24/2004 Home    W    83.25  73   44   3A   49 ( 6-16) Tama South Tama         8.32     20.68                      
 21 02/27/2004 Away    W    73.09  70   48   3A   59 ( 3-19) Chariton               -1.84     23.84                      
 22 03/01/2004 Home    W *  60.87  81   71   3A   55 ( 3-19) Knoxville             -14.06     24.06                      
 23 03/04/2004 Neutral L *  59.21  60   69   3A   18 (15- 9) Pella                 -15.72      6.72                      
      Averages              74.93  64.5 51.7

Best game:  101.77 = 30 point win over Oskaloosa
Worst game:  59.21 = 9 point loss to Pella
Team stdev:  10.55