BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 9 Conference: (18-6) Overall: (18-6) Overall Strength =   80.51

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Home    W *  89.11  77   39   4A   47 ( 0-22) Des Moines North        8.24 *   29.76                      
  2 12/05/2003 Away    W *  89.41  68   55   4A   23 (11-11) Urbandale               8.54      4.46                      
  3 12/12/2003 Away    W *  84.08  80   67   4A   35 ( 7-16) Ankeny                  3.21      9.79                      
  4 12/13/2003 Home    W *  73.84 101   94   4A   36 ( 7-15) Des Moines East        -7.03     14.03                      
  5 12/19/2003 Home    W *  84.89  71   63   4A   13 (17- 7) Southeast Polk          4.02      3.98                      
  6 01/02/2004 Away    W *  82.89  63   62   4A    8 (17- 7) WDM Dowling             2.02     -1.02                      
  7 01/06/2004 Home    W *  72.18  67   59   4A   37 (10-13) Mason City             -8.69     16.69                      
  8 01/09/2004 Away    W *  91.31  55   45   4A   10 (15- 7) Indianola              10.44     -0.44                      
  9 01/16/2004 Home    L *  64.49  65   73   4A   23 (11-11) Urbandale             -16.38      8.38                      
 10 01/17/2004 Away    L *  76.68  58   59   4A   20 (15- 8) Des Moines Hoover      -4.19      3.19                      
 11 01/23/2004 Home    W *  89.16  77   55   4A   35 ( 7-16) Ankeny                  8.29     13.71                      
 12 01/24/2004 Away    W *  64.90  45   42   4A   45 ( 1-21) Fort Dodge            -15.97     18.97  rescheduled from 12/16/03
 13 01/27/2004 Home    L *  69.56  61   62   4A   27 (15-10) Marshalltown          -11.32     10.32                      
 14 01/30/2004 Away    W *  82.81  55   53   4A   13 (17- 7) Southeast Polk          1.94      0.06                      
 15 02/03/2004 Away    W *  85.38  72   58   4A   33 ( 7-15) Des Moines Lincoln      4.51      9.49                      
 16 02/06/2004 Home    L *  76.97  65   66   4A    8 (17- 7) WDM Dowling            -3.90      2.90                      
 17 02/10/2004 Home    W *  79.84  75   74   4A    7 (16- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   -1.03      2.03                      
 18 02/13/2004 Home    W *  80.39  64   61   4A   10 (15- 7) Indianola              -0.48      3.48                      
 19 02/20/2004 Away    W *  82.57  78   71   4A   25 (12-11) WDM Valley              1.70      5.30                      
 20 02/24/2004 Away    W *  94.31  56   42   4A   15 (15- 8) Ames                   13.44      0.56                      
 21 02/27/2004 Home    L *  70.75  62   69   4A   12 (19- 7) Ottumwa               -10.13      3.13                      
 22 03/05/2004 Home    W *  86.76  72   59   4A   20 (15- 8) Des Moines Hoover       5.89      7.11                      
 23 03/09/2004 Neutral W *  89.93  71   61   4A    8 (17- 7) WDM Dowling             9.06      0.94                      
 24 03/17/2004 Neutral L *  78.71  49   50   4A   12 (19- 7) Ottumwa                -2.16      1.16                      
      Averages              80.87  67.0 60.0

Best game:   94.31 = 14 point win over Ames
Worst game:  64.49 = 8 point loss to Urbandale
Team stdev:   8.32