BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Marshalltown

Class: 4A Class Rank: 27 Conference: (15-7) Overall: (15-10) Overall Strength =   72.52

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Home    L *  74.39  43   46   4A   10 (15- 7) Indianola               1.88     -4.88                      
  2 12/05/2003 Away    W *  81.10  56   43   4A   37 (10-13) Mason City              8.59      4.41                      
  3 12/12/2003 Away    W *  69.90  44   36   4A   45 ( 1-21) Fort Dodge             -2.61     10.61                      
  4 12/13/2003 Home    W *  68.46  48   47   4A   33 ( 7-15) Des Moines Lincoln     -4.06      5.06                      
  5 12/16/2003 Away    L    62.24  40   44   3A   23 (12-11) Waukee                -10.27      6.27                      
  6 12/19/2003 Away    L *  66.57  66   75   4A   25 (12-11) WDM Valley             -5.95     -3.05                      
  7 12/23/2003 Home    W *  78.55  64   49   4A   38 ( 6-16) Newton                  6.03      8.97                      
  8 01/06/2004 Away    L *  46.08  52   77   4A   35 ( 7-16) Ankeny                -26.44      1.44                      
  9 01/09/2004 Away    L *  72.31  53   61   4A   15 (15- 8) Ames                   -0.21     -7.79                      
 10 01/13/2004 Home    L *  60.97  68   85   4A    8 (17- 7) WDM Dowling           -11.55     -5.45                      
 11 01/16/2004 Home    W *  79.18  63   48   4A   37 (10-13) Mason City              6.67      8.33                      
 12 01/20/2004 Home    L *  67.84  73   84   4A    7 (16- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   -4.67     -6.33                      
 13 01/23/2004 Home    W *  61.98  44   40   4A   45 ( 1-21) Fort Dodge            -10.53     14.53                      
 14 01/27/2004 Away    W *  83.83  62   61   4A    9 (18- 6) Johnston               11.32    -10.32                      
 15 01/30/2004 Home    W *  89.65  60   42   4A   25 (12-11) WDM Valley             17.13      0.87                      
 16 02/10/2004 Home    W *  71.11  53   33   4A   47 ( 0-22) Des Moines North       -1.41     21.41                      
 17 02/13/2004 Home    W *  80.39  60   56   4A   15 (15- 8) Ames                    7.87     -3.87                      
 18 02/17/2004 Home    L    79.36  51   52   4A    5 (16- 8) Cedar Falls             6.85     -7.85                      
 19 02/20/2004 Away    W *  84.67  58   55   4A   12 (19- 7) Ottumwa                12.15     -9.15                      
 20 02/23/2004 Away    W *  77.47  61   51   4A   38 ( 6-16) Newton                  4.95      5.05  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 21 02/27/2004 Away    L *  61.68  57   73   4A   20 (15- 8) Des Moines Hoover     -10.83     -5.17                      
 22 03/02/2004 Home    W *  65.11  66   52   4A   47 ( 0-22) Des Moines North       -7.41     21.41                      
 23 03/05/2004 Away    W *  78.41  59   57   4A   23 (11-11) Urbandale               5.89     -3.89                      
 24 03/09/2004 Neutral W *  93.35  58   43   4A   15 (15- 8) Ames                   20.83     -5.83                      
 25 03/17/2004 Neutral L    58.29  45   80   4A    1 (24- 3) Marion Linn-Mar       -14.22    -20.78                      
      Averages              72.52  56.2 55.6

Best game:   93.35 = 15 point win over Ames
Worst game:  46.08 = 25 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev:  10.87