BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Monticello

Class: 2A Class Rank: 12 Conference: (15-1) Overall: (19-4) Overall Strength =   71.46

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Home    W    71.49  63   45   3A   51 ( 5-17) West Delaware          -0.88     18.88                      
  2 12/05/2003 Home    W    81.31  59   46   2A   21 (20- 5) Goose Lake Northeast    8.94      4.06                      
  3 12/06/2003 Away    L    56.07  49   64   4A   32 ( 4-18) Dubuque Hempstead     -16.30      1.30                      
  4 12/12/2003 Away    W *  77.32  53   41   3A   24 (12-10) Anamosa                 4.95      7.05                      
  5 12/16/2003 Home    W *  67.82  70   51   2A   81 (10-13) Center Point-Urbana    -4.55     23.55                      
  6 12/19/2003 Away    W *  59.00  56   46   2A   88 ( 8-15) East Buchanan         -13.37     23.37                      
  7 12/20/2003 Away    W    77.58  68   44   2A   79 ( 8-14) Wyoming Midland         5.21     18.79                      
  8 01/06/2004 Away    L *  62.14  44   61   2A    6 (20- 3) Maquoketa Valley      -10.23     -6.77                      
  9 01/09/2004 Home    W *  79.80  77   41   1A   72 ( 9-13) Springville             7.43 *   28.57                      
 10 01/13/2004 Home    W *  96.97  78   36   2A   65 (14- 9) Cascade W Dubuque      24.60     17.40                      
 11 01/16/2004 Home    W *  66.67  77   52   2A  104 ( 3-19) Arlington Starmont     -5.70 *   30.70                      
 12 01/20/2004 Away    W *  81.23  75   52   1A   34 (16- 8) Alburnett               8.86     14.14                      
 13 01/23/2004 Home    W *  76.40  55   40   3A   24 (12-10) Anamosa                 4.03     10.97                      
 14 01/27/2004 Away    W *  71.74  54   35   2A   81 (10-13) Center Point-Urbana    -0.63     19.63                      
 15 01/30/2004 Home    W *  57.44  91   42   1A  153 ( 0-22) Central City          -14.93 *   63.93                      
 16 02/03/2004 Home    W *  78.22  53   50   2A    6 (20- 3) Maquoketa Valley        5.85     -2.85                      
 17 02/10/2004 Away    W *  81.89  62   39   2A   65 (14- 9) Cascade W Dubuque       9.52     13.48                      
 18 02/13/2004 Away    W *  81.59  89   53   2A  104 ( 3-19) Arlington Starmont      9.22 *   26.78                      
 19 02/14/2004 Away    W *  69.32  43   37   2A   43 (19- 7) North Linn             -3.05      9.05  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 20 02/17/2004 Home    W *  92.66  99   43   1A   90 ( 6-16) Edgewood-Colesburg     20.30 *   35.70                      
 21 02/20/2004 Away    L    60.68  47   61   1A    5 (27- 2) Bellevue Marquette    -11.69     -2.31                      
 22 02/23/2004 Home    W    68.66  51   32   2A   79 ( 8-14) Wyoming Midland        -3.71     22.71                      
 23 02/26/2004 Home    L    48.52  39   53   2A   26 (20- 4) Bellevue              -23.85      9.85                      
      Averages              72.37  63.1 46.3

Best game:   96.97 = 42 point win over Cascade Western Dubuque
Worst game:  48.52 = 14 point loss to Bellevue
Team stdev:  11.80