BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Nevada

Class: 3A Class Rank: 54 Conference: (6-13) Overall: (7-15) Overall Strength =   54.41

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Away    W    63.99  51   47   2A   57 ( 8-13) Alleman North Polk      9.58     -5.58                      
  2 12/05/2003 Home    L *  47.41  63   66   3A   56 ( 8-15) Adel ADM               -7.00      4.00                      
  3 12/12/2003 Home    L *  58.51  58   63   3A   22 (19- 5) Perry                   4.10     -9.10                      
  4 12/13/2003 Home    W *  62.99  56   52   3A   37 (15- 8) Huxley Ballard          8.58     -4.58                      
  5 12/19/2003 Away    L *  37.86  31   50   3A   52 ( 8-14) Saydel                -16.55     -2.45                      
  6 01/03/2004 Home    L    38.87  45   64   2A   47 (12-12) Roland-Story          -15.54     -3.46                      
  7 01/06/2004 Home    W *  53.17  55   50   3A   58 ( 5-17) Dallas Center-Grimes   -1.24      6.24                      
  8 01/09/2004 Home    L *  49.91  40   60   3A   13 (17- 7) Carroll                -4.50    -15.50                      
  9 01/13/2004 Home    L *  62.44  40   45   3A   14 (20- 3) Jefferson-Scranton      8.03    -13.03                      
 10 01/16/2004 Home    W *  52.81  42   27   3A   64 ( 2-20) Winterset              -1.60     16.60                      
 11 01/20/2004 Away    L *  50.33  42   46   3A   56 ( 8-15) Adel ADM               -4.08      0.08                      
 12 01/23/2004 Away    L *  52.11  44   52   2A   62 (11-11) Carlisle               -2.30     -5.70                      
 13 01/27/2004 Away    L *  50.43  39   56   3A   22 (19- 5) Perry                  -3.98    -13.02                      
 14 01/30/2004 Away    L *  51.91  26   37   3A   37 (15- 8) Huxley Ballard         -2.50     -8.50                      
 15 01/31/2004 Home    L    55.21  46   52   1A   14 (16- 9) Colo NESCO              0.80     -6.80                      
 16 02/09/2004 Home    W *  80.19  55   31   2A   62 (11-11) Carlisle               25.78     -1.78  rescheduled from 02/02/04
 17 02/10/2004 Away    L *  62.83  60   71   3A   13 (17- 7) Carroll                 8.42    -19.42                      
 18 02/13/2004 Away    L *  47.36  48   72   3A   14 (20- 3) Jefferson-Scranton     -7.05    -16.95                      
 19 02/14/2004 Away    L *  37.09  39   54   3A   58 ( 5-17) Dallas Center-Grimes  -17.32      2.32  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 20 02/16/2004 Away    W *  74.73  69   36   3A   64 ( 2-20) Winterset              20.32     12.68                      
 21 02/23/2004 Home    W *  54.93  47   45   3A   52 ( 8-14) Saydel                  0.52      1.48                      
 22 03/01/2004 Away    L *  51.91  52   63   3A   37 (15- 8) Huxley Ballard         -2.50     -8.50                      
      Averages              54.41  47.6 51.8

Best game:   80.19 = 24 point win over Carlisle
Worst game:  37.09 = 15 point loss to Dallas Center-Grimes
Team stdev:  10.66