BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Ogden

Class: 2A Class Rank: 22 Conference: (15-4) Overall: (20-5) Overall Strength =   68.88

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Home    W    56.41  62   56   3A   56 ( 8-15) Adel ADM              -11.92     17.92                      
  2 12/12/2003 Home    L *  56.07  53   56   2A   45 ( 9-14) South Hamilton        -12.26      9.26                      
  3 12/13/2003 Away    W    59.06  47   36   4A   48 ( 3-19) Boone                  -9.27     20.27                      
  4 12/19/2003 Home    W *  81.97  57   26   2A   77 ( 6-16) Woodward-Granger       13.63     17.37                      
  5 12/20/2003 Away    L *  58.10  52   59   2A   37 (13-10) West Marshall         -10.23      3.23                      
  6 01/06/2004 Home    W *  75.07  53   34   2A   57 ( 8-13) Alleman North Polk      6.74     12.26                      
  7 01/09/2004 Home    W *  64.10  43   40   1A   15 (11-11) Madrid                 -4.23      7.23                      
  8 01/10/2004 Away    W *  67.13  47   45   1A   14 (16- 9) Colo NESCO             -1.21      3.21                      
  9 01/13/2004 Away    W *  67.79  45   39   2A   47 (12-12) Roland-Story           -0.55      6.55                      
 10 01/16/2004 Away    W *  63.99  42   41   2A   45 ( 9-14) South Hamilton         -4.34      5.34                      
 11 01/17/2004 Home    W    82.11  57   40   1A   11 (15- 8) Hubbard-Radcliffe      13.78      3.22                      
 12 01/20/2004 Home    W *  55.13  69   45   2A  121 ( 0-22) Baxter CMB            -13.20 *   37.20                      
 13 01/23/2004 Home    L *  54.18  40   47   2A   37 (13-10) West Marshall         -14.15      7.15                      
 14 01/24/2004 Home    W    95.58  75   33   2A   72 (15- 6) Prairie Valley         27.24     14.76                      
 15 01/27/2004 Away    W *  77.20  60   42   2A   66 (11-12) Gilbert                 8.87      9.13                      
 16 01/30/2004 Away    W *  57.89  47   44   2A   77 ( 6-16) Woodward-Granger      -10.45     13.45                      
 17 02/03/2004 Away    L *  66.80  35   44   2A    9 (22- 2) Bondurant-Farrar       -1.53     -7.47                      
 18 02/07/2004 Away    W *  71.02  43   37   1A   15 (11-11) Madrid                  2.69      3.31  rescheduled from 12/09/03 and 01/08/04 and 02/05/04
 19 02/11/2004 Home    W *  81.21  79   59   1A   14 (16- 9) Colo NESCO             12.87      7.13  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 20 02/17/2004 Away    W    62.30  38   34   1A   30 (15- 8) Des Moines Christian   -6.04     10.04                      
 21 02/19/2004 Home    W *  80.47  58   35   2A   56 ( 9-10) Colfax-Mingo           12.14     10.86                      
 22 02/23/2004 Neutral W *  72.93  52   32   2A   77 ( 6-16) Woodward-Granger        4.59     15.41                      
 23 02/26/2004 Away    W *  65.20  39   33   2A   66 (11-12) Gilbert                -3.13      9.13                      
 24 03/02/2004 Neutral W *  70.83  37   26   2A   47 (12-12) Roland-Story            2.49      8.51                      
 25 03/06/2004 Neutral L    65.80  39   53   2A    4 (26- 2) Fort Dodge St Edmond   -2.54    -11.46                      
      Averages              68.33  50.8 41.4

Best game:   95.58 = 42 point win over Gowrie Prairie Valley
Worst game:  54.18 = 7 point loss to State Center West Marshall
Team stdev:  10.51