BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Orient-Macksburg

Class: 1A Class Rank: 70 Conference: (13-2) Overall: (21-4) Overall Strength =   45.83

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Home    L    41.07  42   49   2A   82 (14- 8) Stuart West Central    -4.17     -2.83                      
  2 12/05/2003 Home    W    32.14  46   44   1A  119 ( 8-14) Villisca              -13.09     15.09                      
  3 12/12/2003 Home    W *  52.69  64   49   1A   88 (13-10) Earlham                 7.46      7.54                      
  4 12/13/2003 Away    W    58.59  67   57   1A   59 (19- 3) Melcher-Dallas         13.35     -3.35                      
  5 12/16/2003 Away    W *  39.43  46   41   1A  118 ( 7-13) Walnut                 -5.80     10.80                      
  6 12/19/2003 Home    W *  56.94  70   58   1A   61 (14- 8) Anita CAM              11.70      0.30                      
  7 01/03/2004 Away    W *  53.38  71   43   1A  137 ( 4-18) Exira                   8.14     19.86  rescheduled from 12/09/03
  8 01/06/2004 Home    W    46.36  57   37   1A  130 ( 4-19) Lenox                   1.13     18.87                      
  9 01/08/2004 Away    W    38.09  48   26   1A  148 ( 4-17) Murray                 -7.14 *   29.14                      
 10 01/09/2004 Away    W    41.75  63   48   1A  134 (11-11) Diagonal               -3.48     18.48                      
 11 01/13/2004 Home    W *  63.71  73   44   1A  102 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton    18.48     10.52                      
 12 01/16/2004 Away    W *  63.67  68   25   1A  145 ( 3-19) WDM Iowa Christian     18.43     24.57                      
 13 01/20/2004 Home    W *  44.03  69   56   1A  112 ( 8-14) Adair-Casey            -1.20     14.20                      
 14 01/23/2004 Home    W *  56.46  64   29   1A  137 ( 4-18) Exira                  11.22     23.78                      
 15 01/27/2004 Away    W *  44.61  53   50   1A   88 (13-10) Earlham                -0.62      3.62                      
 16 01/30/2004 Home    W *  33.51  60   57   1A  118 ( 7-13) Walnut                -11.72     14.72                      
 17 02/09/2004 Away    W *  53.86  65   60   1A   61 (14- 8) Anita CAM               8.62     -3.62  rescheduled from 02/03/04
 18 02/10/2004 Home    W *  38.75  56   34   1A  145 ( 3-19) WDM Iowa Christian     -6.49 *   28.49                      
 19 02/13/2004 Away    L *  22.95  49   61   1A  112 ( 8-14) Adair-Casey           -22.28     10.28                      
 20 02/14/2004 Away    L *  37.63  43   44   1A  102 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -7.60      6.60  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 21 02/20/2004 Home    W    39.27  66   52   1A  123 ( 4-17) Afton East Union       -5.96     19.96                      
 22 02/26/2004 Home    W    40.27  66   51   1A  123 ( 4-17) Afton East Union       -4.96     19.96                      
 23 03/01/2004 Home    W    42.14  53   41   1A  119 ( 8-14) Villisca               -3.09     15.09                      
 24 03/03/2004 Neutral W *  44.65  48   43   1A   88 (13-10) Earlham                -0.58      5.58                      
 25 03/06/2004 Neutral L    44.88  41   57   1A   21 (23- 3) North Mahaska          -0.35    -15.65                      
      Averages              45.23  57.9 46.2

Best game:   63.71 = 29 point win over Elk Horn-Kimballton
Worst game:  22.95 = 12 point loss to Adair-Casey
Team stdev:  10.02