BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 12 Conference: (16-5) Overall: (19-7) Overall Strength = 79.49
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/02/2003 Home W * 83.65 68 56 4A 25 (12-11) WDM Valley 3.94 8.06
2 12/05/2003 Home W * 83.84 46 41 4A 7 (16- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt 4.14 0.86
3 12/11/2003 Home W * 85.11 74 40 4A 47 ( 0-22) Des Moines North 5.40 * 28.60
4 12/16/2003 Home W * 70.55 40 33 4A 38 ( 6-16) Newton -9.16 16.16
5 12/19/2003 Away W * 81.38 53 43 4A 33 ( 7-15) Des Moines Lincoln 1.67 8.33
6 01/02/2004 Away W * 91.76 55 34 4A 36 ( 7-15) Des Moines East 12.06 8.94
7 01/06/2004 Away L * 70.89 57 68 4A 8 (17- 7) WDM Dowling -8.82 -2.18
8 01/09/2004 Home W * 76.76 50 47 4A 20 (15- 8) Des Moines Hoover -2.94 5.94
9 01/13/2004 Home W 92.85 69 44 4A 34 (14- 8) Oskaloosa 13.15 11.85
10 01/16/2004 Away W * 98.77 66 50 4A 7 (16- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt 19.06 -3.06
11 01/23/2004 Away W * 82.03 73 46 4A 47 ( 0-22) Des Moines North 2.32 24.68
12 01/27/2004 Home L * 69.39 47 55 4A 10 (15- 7) Indianola -10.31 2.31
13 01/30/2004 Home W * 77.46 54 44 4A 33 ( 7-15) Des Moines Lincoln -2.25 12.25
14 02/03/2004 Home W 84.59 67 41 3A 42 (13-11) Mount Pleasant 4.89 21.11
15 02/07/2004 Home W * 79.84 64 51 4A 36 ( 7-15) Des Moines East 0.13 12.87 rescheduled from 02/06/04
16 02/10/2004 Away W * 89.41 50 37 4A 23 (11-11) Urbandale 9.70 3.30
17 02/14/2004 Away L * 67.68 44 54 4A 20 (15- 8) Des Moines Hoover -12.02 2.02
18 02/16/2004 Away L * 51.08 60 80 4A 35 ( 7-16) Ankeny -28.63 8.63 rescheduled from 12/09/03
19 02/17/2004 Away W 78.70 56 43 3A 26 (17-10) Fairfield -1.00 14.00
20 02/20/2004 Home L * 67.56 55 58 4A 27 (15-10) Marshalltown -12.15 9.15
21 02/27/2004 Away W * 89.83 69 62 4A 9 (18- 6) Johnston 10.13 -3.13
22 03/05/2004 Home W * 87.65 52 36 4A 25 (12-11) WDM Valley 7.94 8.06
23 03/09/2004 Neutral W * 79.85 43 42 4A 13 (17- 7) Southeast Polk 0.14 0.86
24 03/17/2004 Neutral W * 81.87 50 49 4A 9 (18- 6) Johnston 2.16 -1.16
25 03/19/2004 Neutral L 73.29 36 56 4A 1 (24- 3) Marion Linn-Mar -6.41 -13.59
26 03/20/2004 Neutral L 76.57 37 39 4A 14 (21- 5) Bettendorf -3.13 1.13
Averages 79.71 55.2 48.0
Best game: 98.77 = 16 point win over Des Moines Roosevelt
Worst game: 51.08 = 20 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev: 9.97