BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Sumner

Class: 2A Class Rank: 59 Conference: (8-9) Overall: (11-11) Overall Strength =   58.63

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2003 Neutral L *  56.76  43   51   2A   31 (17- 6) Turkey Valley          -1.86     -6.14                      
  2 12/02/2003 Away    L    66.18  56   58   2A   28 (19- 5) Nashua-Plainfield       7.55     -9.55                      
  3 12/12/2003 Home    W *  50.85  59   42   1A  107 ( 2-20) Maynard West Central   -7.78     24.78                      
  4 12/19/2003 Home    L *  51.03  56   63   2A   53 (11-13) South Winneshiek       -7.59      0.59                      
  5 12/20/2003 Home    W *  59.52  45   43   2A   51 (12-10) North Fayette           0.90      1.10                      
  6 01/02/2004 Away    W    57.94  50   49   2A   71 ( 8-14) Grundy Center          -0.69      1.69                      
  7 01/06/2004 Home    W *  63.80  50   49   2A   31 (17- 6) Turkey Valley           5.18     -4.18                      
  8 01/09/2004 Away    L    66.06  50   51   1A   12 (21- 4) Fredericksburg          7.43     -8.43                      
  9 01/10/2004 Home    W    59.08  60   46   2A   88 ( 8-15) East Buchanan           0.45     13.55                      
 10 01/13/2004 Away    L *  53.44  52   60   2A   51 (12-10) North Fayette          -5.18     -2.82                      
 11 01/16/2004 Home    L *  51.52  47   53   2A   48 (13- 9) Monona MFL MarMac      -7.10      1.10                      
 12 01/20/2004 Away    W *  62.77  74   49   1A  107 ( 2-20) Maynard West Central    4.14     20.86                      
 13 01/22/2004 Home    W    56.01  62   52   1A   58 (10-13) Walnut Ridge           -2.61     12.61                      
 14 01/23/2004 Home    W *  75.56  57   49   1A    7 (20- 4) Elgin Valley           16.93     -8.93                      
 15 01/27/2004 Away    L *  54.95  50   57   2A   53 (11-13) South Winneshiek       -3.67     -3.33                      
 16 01/30/2004 Away    W *  64.76  70   66   1A   27 (15- 8) Postville               6.14     -2.14                      
 17 02/03/2004 Away    L *  54.36  50   60   2A   35 (16- 9) Clayton Ridge          -4.26     -5.74                      
 18 02/07/2004 Home    W *  47.13  58   45   1A  109 ( 3-20) Lansing Kee           -11.50     24.50  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 19 02/10/2004 Away    L *  63.72  76   79   2A   31 (17- 6) Turkey Valley           5.10     -8.10                      
 20 02/13/2004 Home    W *  68.12  68   43   2A  102 ( 4-17) Elkader Central         9.49     15.51                      
 21 02/17/2004 Home    L *  51.44  53   62   2A   35 (16- 9) Clayton Ridge          -7.18     -1.82                      
 22 02/23/2004 Neutral L *  54.76  47   57   2A   31 (17- 6) Turkey Valley          -3.86     -6.14                      
      Averages              58.63  56.0 53.8

Best game:   75.56 = 8 point win over Elgin Valley
Worst game:  47.13 = 13 point win over Lansing Kee
Team stdev:   7.02