BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Waukee

Class: 3A Class Rank: 23 Conference: (6-9) Overall: (12-11) Overall Strength =   64.28

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/05/2003 Away    L *  56.77  36   51   4A   34 (14- 8) Oskaloosa              -7.51     -7.49                      
  2 12/12/2003 Away    L *  60.17  52   62   3A   18 (15- 9) Pella                  -4.11     -5.89                      
  3 12/16/2003 Home    W    74.56  44   40   4A   27 (15-10) Marshalltown           10.27     -6.27                      
  4 12/19/2003 Home    L *  58.98  45   54   2A   17 (20- 8) Pella Christian        -5.30     -3.70                      
  5 01/06/2004 Home    L *  69.97  51   54   3A    7 (17- 6) Grinnell                5.69     -8.69                      
  6 01/09/2004 Away    W *  55.06  45   38   4A   48 ( 3-19) Boone                  -9.22     16.22                      
  7 01/16/2004 Home    L *  55.70  38   50   3A   15 (19- 8) Norwalk                -8.58     -3.42                      
  8 01/20/2004 Home    W *  71.87  72   51   3A   55 ( 3-19) Knoxville               7.59     13.41                      
  9 01/23/2004 Away    L *  51.90  45   65   2A   17 (20- 8) Pella Christian       -12.38     -7.62                      
 10 01/24/2004 Away    W    79.09  60   33   3A   58 ( 5-17) Dallas Center-Grimes   14.81     12.19                      
 11 01/27/2004 Home    L *  48.25  41   59   3A   18 (15- 9) Pella                 -16.03     -1.97                      
 12 01/30/2004 Home    W *  69.85  54   52   4A   34 (14- 8) Oskaloosa               5.57     -3.57                      
 13 02/03/2004 Away    L *  67.89  49   58   3A    7 (17- 6) Grinnell                3.61    -12.61                      
 14 02/09/2004 Home    W *  74.14  67   37   4A   48 ( 3-19) Boone                   9.86     20.14  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 15 02/10/2004 Away    W *  55.79  54   53   3A   55 ( 3-19) Knoxville              -8.49      9.49                      
 16 02/13/2004 Away    W *  74.62  63   60   3A   15 (19- 8) Norwalk                10.34     -7.34                      
 17 02/14/2004 Away    W    71.76  64   63   4A   36 ( 7-15) Des Moines East         7.48     -6.48                      
 18 02/17/2004 Home    W    59.11  57   49   4A   47 ( 0-22) Des Moines North       -5.17     13.17                      
 19 02/20/2004 Away    L    66.81  43   57   4A   13 (17- 7) Southeast Polk          2.53    -16.53                      
 20 02/21/2004 Home    L    54.39  40   62   4A   15 (15- 8) Ames                   -9.89    -12.11                      
 21 02/24/2004 Home    W    68.17  56   35   3A   59 ( 3-19) Chariton                3.89     17.11                      
 22 03/01/2004 Home    W    66.93  56   42   3A   52 ( 8-14) Saydel                  2.65     11.35                      
 23 03/04/2004 Neutral L *  66.66  52   55   3A   15 (19- 8) Norwalk                 2.38     -5.38                      
      Averages              64.28  51.5 51.3

Best game:   79.09 = 27 point win over Dallas Center-Grimes
Worst game:  48.25 = 18 point loss to Pella
Team stdev:   8.58