BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Winterset

Class: 3A Class Rank: 64 Conference: (1-18) Overall: (2-20) Overall Strength =   41.27

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/05/2003 Away    L *  29.83  40   84   3A   13 (17- 7) Carroll                -9.94 *  -34.06                      
  2 12/12/2003 Away    L *  33.33  30   51   3A   56 ( 8-15) Adel ADM               -6.44    -14.56                      
  3 12/15/2003 Home    L *  48.93  58   62   3A   52 ( 8-14) Saydel                  9.16    -13.16                      
  4 12/16/2003 Away    L *  43.43  39   63   3A   22 (19- 5) Perry                   3.66 *  -27.66                      
  5 12/19/2003 Home    L *  24.19  32   64   2A   62 (11-11) Carlisle              -15.58    -16.42                      
  6 01/06/2004 Away    L *  31.91  28   59   3A   37 (15- 8) Huxley Ballard         -7.86    -23.14                      
  7 01/09/2004 Home    L *  53.44  44   58   3A   14 (20- 3) Jefferson-Scranton     13.67 *  -27.67                      
  8 01/10/2004 Away    W *  63.09  49   38   3A   58 ( 5-17) Dallas Center-Grimes   23.32    -12.32                      
  9 01/16/2004 Away    L *  41.37  27   42   3A   54 ( 7-15) Nevada                  1.60    -16.60                      
 10 01/17/2004 Home    L *  21.91  34   82   3A   13 (17- 7) Carroll               -17.86 *  -30.14                      
 11 01/20/2004 Home    W    44.93  58   52   3A   63 ( 2-18) Osceola Clarke          5.16      0.84                      
 12 01/23/2004 Away    L *  47.86  37   46   3A   52 ( 8-14) Saydel                  8.08    -17.08                      
 13 01/27/2004 Home    L *  37.41  46   59   3A   56 ( 8-15) Adel ADM               -2.36    -10.64                      
 14 01/30/2004 Home    L *  51.51  48   60   3A   22 (19- 5) Perry                  11.74    -23.74                      
 15 02/03/2004 Away    L *  50.11  55   65   2A   62 (11-11) Carlisle               10.34    -20.34                      
 16 02/07/2004 Home    L *  51.99  49   56   3A   37 (15- 8) Huxley Ballard         12.22    -19.22  rescheduled from 02/06/04
 17 02/10/2004 Away    L *  25.36  43   89   3A   14 (20- 3) Jefferson-Scranton    -14.41 *  -31.59                      
 18 02/13/2004 Home    L *  43.17  42   47   3A   58 ( 5-17) Dallas Center-Grimes    3.40     -8.40                      
 19 02/16/2004 Home    L *  19.45  36   69   3A   54 ( 7-15) Nevada                -20.32    -12.68                      
 20 02/20/2004 Away    L    40.62  48   79   3A   15 (19- 8) Norwalk                 0.85 *  -31.85                      
 21 02/24/2004 Home    L    39.77  33   52   3A   39 (13-11) Creston                -0.00    -19.00                      
 22 03/01/2004 Away    L *  31.33  32   55   3A   56 ( 8-15) Adel ADM               -8.44    -14.56                      
      Averages              39.77  41.3 60.5

Best game:   63.09 = 11 point win over Dallas Center-Grimes
Worst game:  19.45 = 33 point loss to Nevada
Team stdev:  11.53