BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Adair-Casey

Class: 1A Class Rank: 94 Conference: (6-6) Overall: (12-12) Overall Strength =   41.84

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Away    W    64.96  81   27   1A  147 ( 1-21) Ankeny Christian       21.75 *   32.25                      
  2 12/02/2004 Home    L    30.45  24   50   2A   66 (15- 8) Stuart West Central   -12.76    -13.24                      
  3 12/04/2004 Away    L    34.41  49   70   1A   34 (20- 5) Guthrie Center         -8.80    -12.20                      
  4 12/07/2004 Home    W    28.32  70   61   1A  135 ( 7-17) Clarinda Academy      -14.88     23.88                      
  5 12/10/2004 Home    W *  40.97  56   24   1A  143 ( 1-21) Exira                  -2.24 *   34.24                      
  6 12/14/2004 Away    L *  40.05  63   68   1A   85 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton    -3.16     -1.84                      
  7 12/17/2004 Home    W *  44.76  68   45   1A  131 ( 7-15) WDM Iowa Christian      1.56     21.44                      
  8 12/21/2004 Home    W    67.51  64   47   1A   44 (14-11) DM Grandview Park      24.30     -7.30                      
  9 01/07/2005 Away    L    51.85  42   44   1A   44 (14-11) DM Grandview Park       8.65    -10.65                      
 10 01/14/2005 Home    W *  45.96  56   52   1A   75 (12-10) Walnut                  2.75      1.25                      
 11 01/17/2005 Away    L *   7.49  33   77   1A   47 (18- 8) Anita CAM             -35.72     -8.28  was 01/11/05 now 01/17/05
 12 01/18/2005 Home    L *  37.24  65   76   1A   50 (22- 3) Orient-Macksburg       -5.97     -5.03                      
 13 01/25/2005 Away    W *  52.31  71   31   1A  143 ( 1-21) Exira                   9.10 *   30.90                      
 14 01/27/2005 Home    W    38.51  54   36   1A  134 ( 6-15) Villisca               -4.69     22.69  was 01/04/05 now 01/27/05
 15 01/28/2005 Home    W *  67.70  65   39   1A   85 (10-12) Elk Horn-Kimballton    24.50      1.50                      
 16 02/01/2005 Away    W *  51.11  53   27   1A  131 ( 7-15) WDM Iowa Christian      7.90     18.10                      
 17 02/04/2005 Home    L *  32.14  47   63   1A   47 (18- 8) Anita CAM             -11.06     -4.94                      
 18 02/08/2005 Away    L *  22.30  33   56   1A   75 (12-10) Walnut                -20.90     -2.10                      
 19 02/11/2005 Away    L *  49.58  53   55   1A   50 (22- 3) Orient-Macksburg        6.38     -8.38                      
 20 02/15/2005 Home    L    34.91  48   77   1A    7 (24- 1) Westside Ar-We-Va      -8.30    -20.70                      
 21 02/17/2005 Home    L    29.89  46   81   1A   10 (20- 4) Avoca AHST            -13.31    -21.69                      
 22 02/18/2005 Home    W    61.92  76   34   1A  136 ( 5-18) East Greene            18.72     23.28                      
 23 02/23/2005 Neutral W    63.19  64   35   1A  117 ( 7-15) Van Meter              19.98      9.02                      
 24 02/28/2005 Away    L    39.41  36   52   1A   34 (20- 5) Guthrie Center         -3.80    -12.20                      
      Averages              43.21  54.9 51.1

Best game:   67.70 = 26 point win over Elk Horn-Kimballton
Worst game:   7.49 = 44 point loss to Anita CAM
Team stdev:  15.20