BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Ames

Class: 4A Class Rank: 14 Conference: (17-4) Overall: (18-4) Overall Strength =   83.04

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Away    W *  87.45  67   57   4A   25 ( 8-14) Southeast Polk          4.40      5.60                      
  2 12/03/2004 Away    W *  87.59  51   49   4A   12 (15- 7) Urbandale               4.55     -2.55                      
  3 12/07/2004 Home    L *  65.20  43   45   4A   37 ( 8-14) Des Moines Lincoln    -17.84     15.84                      
  4 12/10/2004 Away    W *  79.76  61   51   4A   40 ( 5-17) Newton                 -3.28     13.28                      
  5 12/11/2004 Home    W    94.40  55   36   4A   21 (15- 7) Waukee                 11.36      7.64                      
  6 12/17/2004 Away    W *  85.57  52   45   4A   23 ( 9-14) WDM Valley              2.53      4.47                      
  7 01/07/2005 Home    W *  87.35  68   47   4A   41 ( 5-17) Mason City              4.30     16.70                      
  8 01/13/2005 Home    W *  69.05  75   67   4A   45 ( 4-17) Des Moines North      -13.99     21.99  was 01/04/05 now 01/13/05
  9 01/14/2005 Home    W *  83.32  65   53   4A   29 ( 7-16) Fort Dodge              0.28     11.72                      
 10 01/18/2005 Home    W *  83.11  61   58   4A   15 (14-10) Des Moines East         0.07      2.93                      
 11 01/21/2005 Away    L *  81.30  44   46   4A   16 (16- 7) Marshalltown           -1.74     -0.26                      
 12 01/25/2005 Away    W * 101.34  62   46   4A    9 (18- 6) Johnston               18.29     -2.29                      
 13 01/28/2005 Home    W *  83.42  61   44   4A   40 ( 5-17) Newton                  0.38     16.62                      
 14 02/01/2005 Home    W *  81.23  50   44   4A   23 ( 9-14) WDM Valley             -1.81      7.81                      
 15 02/04/2005 Away    W *  74.69  41   36   4A   41 ( 5-17) Mason City             -8.35     13.35                      
 16 02/08/2005 Away    L *  85.69  54   60   4A    4 (19- 6) WDM Dowling             2.65     -8.65                      
 17 02/11/2005 Away    W *  84.66  80   70   4A   29 ( 7-16) Fort Dodge              1.62      8.38                      
 18 02/15/2005 Home    W *  87.55  73   64   4A   18 (14-11) Ankeny                  4.51      4.49                      
 19 02/18/2005 Home    W *  84.96  54   49   4A   16 (16- 7) Marshalltown            1.92      3.08                      
 20 02/22/2005 Away    W *  83.54  65   57   4A   28 ( 8-16) Indianola               0.49      7.51                      
 21 02/25/2005 Home    W *  92.22  66   58   4A    7 (17- 6) Des Moines Hoover       9.18     -1.18                      
 22 03/04/2005 Home    L *  63.55  52   67   4A   18 (14-11) Ankeny                -19.49      4.49                      
      Averages              83.04  59.1 52.2

Best game:  101.34 = 16 point win over Johnston
Worst game:  63.55 = 15 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev:   8.80