BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Aurelia
Class: 1A Class Rank: 28 Conference: (7-7) Overall: (14-9) Overall Strength = 55.78
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 12/03/2004 Away L * 54.88 47 58 1A 12 (19- 4) Newell-Fonda -0.90 -10.10
2 12/07/2004 Away L * 57.89 73 76 2A 55 (12-10) Alta 2.10 -5.10
3 12/10/2004 Home W * 77.61 73 36 1A 87 ( 6-15) Schaller-Crestland 21.82 15.18
4 12/14/2004 Home W * 45.42 59 48 1A 111 ( 2-19) Storm Lake St Mary -10.36 21.36
5 12/16/2004 Home W 65.05 76 53 1A 86 ( 5-17) Granville Spalding 9.27 13.73
6 12/17/2004 Away W * 61.57 60 46 1A 72 ( 8-15) Sac City 5.79 8.21
7 01/07/2005 Home W * 61.62 54 45 1A 33 (11-12) Pomeroy-Palmer 5.84 3.16
8 01/11/2005 Away L * 57.34 56 60 2A 53 (17- 4) Sioux Central 1.56 -5.56
9 01/15/2005 Away L 55.95 58 69 1A 11 (19- 4) Galva-Holstein 0.17 -11.17 was 01/04/05 now 01/15/05
10 01/18/2005 Home L * 60.54 44 46 1A 12 (19- 4) Newell-Fonda 4.76 -6.76
11 01/21/2005 Home L * 41.54 54 70 2A 55 (12-10) Alta -14.24 -1.76
12 01/25/2005 Away W * 46.95 63 60 1A 87 ( 6-15) Schaller-Crestland -8.84 11.84
13 01/27/2005 Home W 58.48 67 60 1A 36 (11-11) Wall Lake WLVA 2.70 4.30
14 01/28/2005 Away W * 58.76 68 47 1A 111 ( 2-19) Storm Lake St Mary 2.98 18.02
15 02/01/2005 Home W * 46.23 62 60 1A 72 ( 8-15) Sac City -9.55 11.55
16 02/03/2005 Away W 55.63 57 49 1A 71 (10-13) Laurens-Marathon -0.15 8.15
17 02/07/2005 Away W 55.56 68 61 1A 66 ( 8-14) Ruthven-Ayrshire -0.22 7.22 was 02/10/05 now 02/07/05
18 02/08/2005 Away L * 35.96 38 58 1A 33 (11-12) Pomeroy-Palmer -19.82 -0.18
19 02/11/2005 Home L * 45.00 47 60 2A 53 (17- 4) Sioux Central -10.78 -2.22
20 02/15/2005 Away W 65.85 88 74 1A 51 (13-10) Charter Oak-Ute 10.06 3.94
21 02/18/2005 Home W 74.47 87 58 1A 62 ( 8-14) Clay Central-Everly 18.68 10.32
22 02/23/2005 Neutral W 51.44 66 59 1A 79 ( 7-13) Odebolt-Arthur -4.35 11.35
23 02/28/2005 Neutral L 49.28 40 56 1A 11 (19- 4) Galva-Holstein -6.51 -9.49
Averages 55.78 61.1 56.9
Best game: 77.61 = 37 point win over Schaller-Crestland
Worst game: 35.96 = 20 point loss to Pomeroy-Palmer
Team stdev: 9.95