BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Emmetsburg

Class: 2A Class Rank: 19 Conference: (8-9) Overall: (16-10) Overall Strength =   70.12

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2004 Home    W    61.76  54   43   2A   77 (15- 9) Pocahontas Area        -8.36     19.36                      
  2 11/30/2004 Neutral W    47.67  51   49   1A   74 (10-11) Britt West Hancock    -22.45     24.45                      
  3 12/07/2004 Away    W *  76.65  64   51   2A   43 ( 8-16) Cherokee Washington     6.53      6.47                      
  4 12/10/2004 Home    W *  77.57  57   52   3A   11 (12-10) Storm Lake              7.44     -2.44                      
  5 12/11/2004 Away    L *  48.99  45   53   3A   54 ( 4-18) Spirit Lake           -21.14     13.14                      
  6 12/14/2004 Away    L *  54.76  64   67   3A   50 ( 5-17) Estherville LC        -15.37     12.37                      
  7 12/17/2004 Home    L *  54.07  50   80   2A    2 (18- 5) Western Christian     -16.05    -13.95                      
  8 12/18/2004 Home    W    77.19  74   45   2A   84 ( 4-18) Milford Okoboji         7.07     21.93                      
  9 01/08/2005 Away    W    62.39  56   44   2A   93 ( 7-15) Northwest Webster      -7.73     19.73                      
 10 01/14/2005 Away    L *  64.99  56   66   3A   15 (12-11) LeMars                 -5.13     -4.87                      
 11 01/15/2005 Home    L *  65.76  50   63   2A    5 (21- 4) Sheldon                -4.36     -8.64  was 01/04/05 now 01/15/05
 12 01/18/2005 Away    W *  81.59  56   49   3A   18 (13-10) Spencer                11.46     -4.46                      
 13 01/24/2005 Home    W *  66.64  66   53   3A   54 ( 4-18) Spirit Lake            -3.48     16.48  was 01/21/05 now 01/24/05
 14 01/25/2005 Home    W *  65.31  50   45   2A   43 ( 8-16) Cherokee Washington    -4.81      9.81                      
 15 01/28/2005 Away    L *  74.91  51   52   3A   11 (12-10) Storm Lake              4.79     -5.79                      
 16 02/01/2005 Home    W *  73.42  66   47   3A   50 ( 5-17) Estherville LC          3.29     15.71                      
 17 02/04/2005 Away    L *  86.41  60   61   2A    2 (18- 5) Western Christian      16.29    -17.29                      
 18 02/08/2005 Away    L *  72.11  51   61   2A    5 (21- 4) Sheldon                 1.98    -11.98                      
 19 02/10/2005 Away    W    86.10  75   43   2A   77 (15- 9) Pocahontas Area        15.98     16.02                      
 20 02/14/2005 Home    L *  70.65  60   61   3A   15 (12-11) LeMars                  0.53     -1.53  was 02/15/05 now 02/14/05
 21 02/18/2005 Home    W *  76.24  59   54   3A   18 (13-10) Spencer                 6.12     -1.12                      
 22 02/21/2005 Home    W    76.16  64   51   2A   32 (13- 9) Algona Garrigan         6.04      6.96                      
 23 02/23/2005 Home    W    74.00  66   50   2A   53 (17- 4) Sioux Central           3.88     12.12                      
 24 03/01/2005 Neutral W    69.43  68   51   2A   77 (15- 9) Pocahontas Area        -0.69     17.69                      
 25 03/04/2005 Neutral W *  88.44  46   38   2A    5 (21- 4) Sheldon                18.31    -10.31                      
 26 03/14/2005 Neutral L    69.96  58   62   2A   16 (27- 1) Nodaway Valley         -0.16     -3.84                      
      Averages              70.12  58.3 53.5

Best game:   88.44 = 8 point win over Sheldon
Worst game:  47.67 = 2 point win over Britt West Hancock
Team stdev:  10.80