BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fairfield

Class: 3A Class Rank: 60 Conference: (2-7) Overall: (7-15) Overall Strength =   49.74

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2004 Away    L    59.52  48   68   3A    6 (12-13) Cedar Rapids Xavier     8.17 *  -28.17                      
  2 12/07/2004 Away    L    38.44  52   72   4A   46 ( 7-15) Oskaloosa             -12.91     -7.09                      
  3 12/10/2004 Away    L *  34.24  40   76   3A   25 (14- 8) Mount Pleasant        -17.11    -18.89                      
  4 12/14/2004 Home    W    50.24  60   58   2A   87 (10-12) Bloomfield Davis       -1.11      3.11                      
  5 12/17/2004 Home    L *  55.30  48   60   3A   19 (17- 6) Washington              3.94    -15.94                      
  6 12/18/2004 Home    W    55.96  66   60   2A   80 (12-11) Keosauqua Van Buren     4.60      1.40                      
  7 12/20/2004 Home    W    60.75  63   61   EX   48 ( 1- 2) Kirksville MO           9.40     -7.40                      
  8 01/07/2005 Home    W    63.63  75   28   2A  129 ( 0-22) Sigourney              12.28 *   34.72  score found 01/10/05 was 01/31/05 on Fairfield schedule
  9 01/08/2005 Away    L    26.29  61   78   2A  108 (11-11) Packwood Pekin        -25.06      8.06                      
 10 01/14/2005 Away    L *  45.18  62   64   3A   64 ( 3-20) Keokuk                 -6.18      4.18                      
 11 01/18/2005 Home    W    56.55  65   52   2A  102 ( 3-19) Eddyville-Blakesburg    5.19      7.81  was 01/11/05 now 01/18/05
 12 01/21/2005 Home    L *  55.04  53   55   3A   47 (11-13) Fort Madison            3.68     -5.68                      
 13 01/25/2005 Away    L    49.49  26   53   4A   27 (11-11) Ottumwa                -1.87    -25.13                      
 14 01/28/2005 Home    L *  34.90  41   73   3A   25 (14- 8) Mount Pleasant        -16.45    -15.55                      
 15 02/01/2005 Home    L    48.41  48   50   2A   76 ( 9-13) Albia                  -2.95      0.95  was 01/03/05 now 02/01/05
 16 02/04/2005 Away    L *  65.64  44   49   3A   19 (17- 6) Washington             14.29    -19.29                      
 17 02/08/2005 Away    L    48.55  42   51   3A   53 (11-11) Chariton               -2.81     -6.19                      
 18 02/12/2005 Home    L    55.41  58   63   3A   41 (20- 2) Centerville             4.05     -9.05                      
 19 02/15/2005 Away    L    61.67  59   75   1A    3 (28- 1) Iowa Mennonite         10.32 *  -26.32                      
 20 02/18/2005 Home    W *  58.83  70   55   3A   64 ( 3-20) Keokuk                  7.48      7.52                      
 21 02/25/2005 Away    W *  62.38  69   67   3A   47 (11-13) Fort Madison           11.03     -9.03                      
 22 02/28/2005 Away    L *  43.38  52   69   3A   47 (11-13) Fort Madison           -7.97     -9.03                      
      Averages              51.35  54.6 60.8

Best game:   65.64 = 5 point loss to Washington
Worst game:  26.29 = 17 point loss to Packwood Pekin
Team stdev:  10.62