BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Grinnell

Class: 3A Class Rank: 12 Conference: (9-5) Overall: (15-8) Overall Strength =   73.94

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Home    W    73.02  50   37   3A   37 ( 9-13) Tama South Tama        -0.92     13.92                      
  2 12/03/2004 Home    W *  70.10  68   53   4A   46 ( 7-15) Oskaloosa              -3.84     18.84                      
  3 12/04/2004 Away    W    93.28  56   32   3A   27 (13- 9) Vinton-Shellsburg      19.33      4.67                      
  4 12/10/2004 Away    W *  88.50  65   40   3A   40 (11-13) Knoxville              14.56     10.44                      
  5 12/14/2004 Home    W    76.30  56   47   3A   19 (17- 6) Washington              2.35      6.65                      
  6 12/17/2004 Away    L *  61.75  36   53   4A   21 (15- 7) Waukee                -12.20     -4.80                      
  7 12/18/2004 Home    W    87.18  67   48   3A   22 (17- 7) Van Horne Benton       13.24      5.76                      
  8 01/07/2005 Home    L *  71.38  49   52   2A    8 (20- 5) Pella Christian        -2.57     -0.43                      
  9 01/14/2005 Home    W *  72.45  80   61   4A   47 ( 3-19) Boone                  -1.49     20.49                      
 10 01/15/2005 Away    L    59.67  65   69   2A   42 (17- 6) Monroe PCM            -14.27     10.27                      
 11 01/18/2005 Home    W *  68.16  54   46   3A   40 (11-13) Knoxville              -5.78     13.78                      
 12 01/21/2005 Away    L *  56.44  43   45   4A   46 ( 7-15) Oskaloosa             -17.50     15.50                      
 13 01/24/2005 Away    L *  62.49  55   56   3A   42 (11-12) Norwalk               -11.46     10.46  was 01/04/05 then 01/11/05 now 01/24/05
 14 01/25/2005 Away    W *  70.99  54   50   3A   29 (12-11) Pella                  -2.95      6.95                      
 15 01/28/2005 Home    L *  72.40  45   48   4A   21 (15- 7) Waukee                 -1.54     -1.46                      
 16 02/01/2005 Home    W *  79.14  56   37   3A   42 (11-12) Norwalk                 5.20     13.80  originally at Norwalk
 17 02/04/2005 Away    W *  78.80  71   49   4A   47 ( 3-19) Boone                   4.85     17.15                      
 18 02/08/2005 Away    W *  86.72  70   61   2A    8 (20- 5) Pella Christian        12.77     -3.77                      
 19 02/11/2005 Home    W *  75.65  59   47   3A   29 (12-11) Pella                   1.71     10.29                      
 20 02/22/2005 Away    L    59.37  49   53   3A   37 ( 9-13) Tama South Tama       -14.58     10.58                      
 21 02/25/2005 Home    W    86.20  71   39   3A   53 (11-11) Chariton               12.26     19.74                      
 22 02/28/2005 Away    W    83.04  79   55   3A   51 ( 9-13) Saydel                  9.09     14.91                      
 23 03/03/2005 Neutral L    67.66  53   59   3A   14 (22- 5) Huxley Ballard         -6.28      0.28                      
      Averages              73.94  58.7 49.4

Best game:   93.28 = 24 point win over Vinton-Shellsburg
Worst game:  56.44 = 2 point loss to Oskaloosa
Team stdev:  10.28