BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Johnston

Class: 4A Class Rank: 9 Conference: (17-6) Overall: (18-6) Overall Strength =   84.37

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/30/2004 Away    W *  98.45  82   67   4A   15 (14-10) Des Moines East        14.79      0.21                      
  2 12/03/2004 Home    W *  74.32  76   73   4A   29 ( 7-16) Fort Dodge             -9.34     12.34                      
  3 12/07/2004 Away    W *  89.69  56   36   4A   41 ( 5-17) Mason City              6.03     13.97                      
  4 12/10/2004 Home    L *  80.25  61   63   4A   12 (15- 7) Urbandale              -3.41      1.41                      
  5 12/14/2004 Home    L *  74.22  46   56   4A    7 (17- 6) Des Moines Hoover      -9.44     -0.56                      
  6 12/17/2004 Away    W *  87.89  84   78   4A   18 (14-11) Ankeny                  4.23      1.77                      
  7 01/07/2005 Away    W *  78.45  53   52   4A   25 ( 8-14) Southeast Polk         -5.22      6.22                      
  8 01/08/2005 Away    W *  98.30  76   61   4A   16 (16- 7) Marshalltown           14.64      0.36  was 01/04/05 now 01/08/05
  9 01/14/2005 Home    W *  89.35  52   51   4A    4 (19- 6) WDM Dowling             5.68     -4.68                      
 10 01/18/2005 Home    W *  88.20  75   54   4A   37 ( 8-14) Des Moines Lincoln      4.54     16.46                      
 11 01/21/2005 Away    W *  82.54  42   35   4A   28 ( 8-16) Indianola              -1.13      8.13                      
 12 01/25/2005 Home    L *  65.37  46   62   4A   14 (18- 4) Ames                  -18.29      2.29                      
 13 01/28/2005 Away    L *  83.59  40   42   4A   12 (15- 7) Urbandale              -0.07     -1.93                      
 14 02/01/2005 Home    W *  83.55  74   69   4A   18 (14-11) Ankeny                 -0.11      5.11                      
 15 02/04/2005 Home    W *  88.10  60   46   4A   25 ( 8-14) Southeast Polk          4.44      9.56                      
 16 02/08/2005 Away    W *  89.00  49   46   4A   10 (15- 7) Des Moines Roosevelt    5.34     -2.34                      
 17 02/11/2005 Away    L *  84.69  54   61   4A    4 (19- 6) WDM Dowling             1.03     -8.03                      
 18 02/15/2005 Home    W *  83.23  61   53   4A   23 ( 9-14) WDM Valley             -0.43      8.43                      
 19 02/18/2005 Home    W *  93.20  67   46   4A   28 ( 8-16) Indianola               9.53     11.47                      
 20 02/22/2005 Away    W *  89.49  51   38   4A   27 (11-11) Ottumwa                 5.82      7.18                      
 21 02/25/2005 Away    W *  94.76  72   47   4A   40 ( 5-17) Newton                 11.10     13.90                      
 22 02/28/2005 Home    W    67.45  58   44   4A   47 ( 3-19) Boone                 -16.21 *   30.21                      
 23 03/04/2005 Away    W *  87.59  52   50   4A   12 (15- 7) Urbandale               3.93     -1.93                      
 24 03/08/2005 Neutral L *  56.22  63   87   4A   18 (14-11) Ankeny                -27.44      3.44                      
      Averages              83.66  60.4 54.9

Best game:   98.45 = 15 point win over Des Moines East
Worst game:  56.22 = 24 point loss to Ankeny
Team stdev:  10.26