BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Ottumwa
Class: 4A Class Rank: 27 Conference: (8-11) Overall: (11-11) Overall Strength = 74.82
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/30/2004 Away L * 64.89 42 59 4A 18 (14-11) Ankeny -9.92 -7.08
2 12/03/2004 Away L * 68.76 30 31 4A 40 ( 5-17) Newton -6.05 5.05
3 12/07/2004 Home L * 67.35 37 58 4A 4 (19- 6) WDM Dowling -7.47 -13.53
4 12/10/2004 Away L * 83.00 46 49 4A 10 (15- 7) Des Moines Roosevelt 8.19 -11.19
5 12/14/2004 Home W 72.90 46 40 3A 25 (14- 8) Mount Pleasant -1.91 7.91
6 12/17/2004 Home W * 78.05 67 50 4A 45 ( 4-17) Des Moines North 3.24 13.76
7 12/21/2004 Away W 72.44 56 42 4A 46 ( 7-15) Oskaloosa -2.37 16.37
8 01/07/2005 Home W * 73.20 44 38 4A 37 ( 8-14) Des Moines Lincoln -1.61 7.61
9 01/10/2005 Away W * 79.54 46 42 4A 28 ( 8-16) Indianola 4.72 -0.72 was 01/04/05 now 01/10/05
10 01/14/2005 Home W * 94.11 62 48 4A 15 (14-10) Des Moines East 19.29 -5.29
11 01/21/2005 Away L * 72.56 34 49 4A 7 (17- 6) Des Moines Hoover -2.25 -12.75
12 01/25/2005 Home W 76.68 53 26 3A 60 ( 7-15) Fairfield 1.87 25.13
13 01/28/2005 Home L * 71.66 43 54 4A 10 (15- 7) Des Moines Roosevelt -3.16 -7.84
14 02/01/2005 Away W * 74.39 49 39 4A 45 ( 4-17) Des Moines North -0.42 10.42
15 02/04/2005 Away W * 76.55 54 48 4A 37 ( 8-14) Des Moines Lincoln 1.73 4.27
16 02/08/2005 Home L * 70.25 42 54 4A 12 (15- 7) Urbandale -4.57 -7.43
17 02/11/2005 Away W * 90.45 47 40 4A 15 (14-10) Des Moines East 15.63 -8.63
18 02/15/2005 Away L * 74.30 47 56 4A 16 (16- 7) Marshalltown -0.51 -8.49
19 02/18/2005 Home L * 65.22 30 49 4A 7 (17- 6) Des Moines Hoover -9.60 -9.40
20 02/22/2005 Home L * 68.99 38 51 4A 9 (18- 6) Johnston -5.82 -7.18
21 02/25/2005 Away W * 89.45 43 31 4A 25 ( 8-14) Southeast Polk 14.63 -2.63
22 03/04/2005 Home L * 61.20 50 61 4A 28 ( 8-16) Indianola -13.62 2.62
Averages 74.82 45.7 46.1
Best game: 94.11 = 14 point win over Des Moines East
Worst game: 61.20 = 11 point loss to Indianola
Team stdev: 8.42