BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Sumner-Fredericksburg

Class: 2A Class Rank: 27 Conference: (12-3) Overall: (18-6) Overall Strength =   66.95

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2004 Home    L    58.68  48   68   2A    4 (23- 2) Nashua-Plainfield      -8.25    -11.75                      
  2 11/30/2004 Away    W    65.22  55   49   1A   21 (16- 8) Dunkerton              -1.71      7.71                      
  3 12/03/2004 Home    W    82.38  64   30   3A   59 ( 5-17) New Hampton            15.45     18.55                      
  4 12/07/2004 Home    L *  49.85  56   57   1A   39 (12-14) Elkader Central       -17.07     16.07                      
  5 12/10/2004 Away    W *  62.23  47   43   2A   63 (10-10) North Fayette          -4.70      8.70                      
  6 12/11/2004 Home    W    63.78  65   53   2A   73 ( 4-18) Jesup                  -3.14     15.14                      
  7 12/14/2004 Away    W *  74.72  68   42   1A   68 ( 6-17) Maynard West Central    7.80     18.20                      
  8 12/21/2004 Home    W *  71.01  52   35   2A   65 ( 6-16) South Winneshiek        4.08     12.92                      
  9 01/11/2005 Home    W *  75.89  60   39   2A   63 (10-10) North Fayette           8.96     12.04                      
 10 01/14/2005 Away    W *  85.52  72   38   2A   88 ( 5-17) Monona MFL MarMac      18.60     15.40                      
 11 01/18/2005 Home    W *  62.38  63   46   1A   68 ( 6-17) Maynard West Central   -4.54     21.54                      
 12 01/22/2005 Home    W    73.15  66   39   1A   67 (10-12) Tripoli                 6.22     20.78                      
 13 01/25/2005 Away    W *  70.35  54   41   2A   65 ( 6-16) South Winneshiek        3.42      9.58                      
 14 01/28/2005 Home    W *  64.39  54   40   1A   48 ( 6-16) Postville              -2.54     16.54                      
 15 02/01/2005 Home    L *  61.25  43   51   2A   15 (22- 3) Clayton Ridge          -5.68     -2.32                      
 16 02/04/2005 Away    W *  53.61  57   48   1A   73 (10-12) Lansing Kee           -13.31     22.31                      
 17 02/05/2005 Away    L *  56.83  55   59   1A   20 (13-10) Elgin Valley          -10.10      6.10  was 01/21/05 now 02/05/05
 18 02/08/2005 Home    W *  70.96  65   56   2A   37 (14- 9) Turkey Valley           4.04      4.96                      
 19 02/11/2005 Away    W *  65.19  47   36   1A   39 (12-14) Elkader Central        -1.73     12.73                      
 20 02/15/2005 Away    W *  75.59  50   47   2A   15 (22- 3) Clayton Ridge           8.66     -5.66                      
 21 02/17/2005 Away    L    66.35  60   67   2A   10 (21- 2) North Butler           -0.57     -6.43                      
 22 02/21/2005 Neutral W    66.26  66   39   2A  123 ( 4-18) Saint Ansgar           -0.67 *   27.67                      
 23 02/23/2005 Neutral W    61.28  49   44   2A   64 (17- 6) Lake Mills             -5.64     10.64                      
 24 03/01/2005 Neutral L    69.35  44   55   2A    4 (23- 2) Nashua-Plainfield       2.42    -13.42                      
      Averages              66.93  56.7 46.8

Best game:   85.52 = 34 point win over Monona MFL MarMac
Worst game:  49.85 = 1 point loss to Elkader Central
Team stdev:   8.49